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Technological Growth and Asset Pricing

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Author Info
Nicolae B. Gârleanu
Stavros Panageas
Jianfeng Yu

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Abstract

In this paper we study the implications of general-purpose technological growth for asset prices. The model features two types of shocks: "small", frequent, and disembodied shocks to productivity and "large" technological innovations, which are embodied into new vintages of the capital stock. While the former affect the economy on impact, the latter affect the economy with lags, since firms need to first adopt the new technologies through investment. The process of adoption leads to cycles in asset valuations and risk premia as firms convert the growth options associated with the new technologies into assets in place. This process can help provide a unified, investment-based view of some well documented phenomena such as the asset-valuation patterns around major technological innovations, the countercyclical behavior of returns, the lead-lag relationship between the stock market and output, and the increasing patterns of consumption-return correlations over longer horizons.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 15340.

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Date of creation: Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:15340

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.

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