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Equilibrium Cross Section of Returns

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Author Info
Joao Gomes
Leonid Kogan
Lu Zhang

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Abstract

We construct a dynamic general equilibrium production economy to explicitly link expected stock returns to firm characteristics such as firm size and the book-to-market ratio. Stock returns in the model are completely characterized by a conditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Size and book-to-market are correlated with the true conditional market beta and therefore appear to predict stock returns. The cross-sectional relations between firm characteristics and returns can subsist even after one controls for typical empirical estimates of beta. These findings suggest that the empirical success of size and book-to-market can be consistent with a single-factor conditional CAPM model.

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Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Political Economy.

Volume (Year): 111 (2003)
Issue (Month): 4 (August)
Pages: 693-732
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:v:111:y:2003:i:4:p:693-732

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Hirshleifer, David & Jiang, Danling, 2007. "Commonality in Misvaluation, Equity Financing, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 5618, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Aug 2008. [Downloadable!]
  2. Tobias Adrian & Joshua Rosenberg, 2006. "Stock returns and volatility: pricing the short-run and long-run components of market risk," Staff Reports 254, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  3. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2004. "Conditional Betas," NBER Working Papers 10413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Joao F. Gomes & Leonid Kogan & Motohiro Yogo, 2007. "Durability of Output and Expected Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 12986, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ronald J. Balvers & Dayong Huang, 2005. "Productivity-Based Asset Pricing: Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 05-05, Department of Economics, West Virginia University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2004. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 10449, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. François Gourio, 2006. "Firms’ Heterogeneous Sensitivities to the Business Cycle, and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-005, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Lettau, Martin & Wachter, Jessica, 2005. "Why is Long-Horizon Equity Less Risky? A Duration-based Explanation of the Value Premium," CEPR Discussion Papers 4921, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Gomes, Joao F & Yaron, Amir & Zhang, Lu, 2002. "Asset Pricing Implications of Firms' Financing Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 3495, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Fernandez, Pablo, 2004. "Are calculated betas good for anything?," IESE Research Papers D/555, IESE Business School. [Downloadable!]
  11. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2000. "Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns," CRSP working papers 520, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
  12. Murillo Campello & Long Chen & Lu Zhang, 2005. "Expected Returns, Yield Spreads, and Asset Pricing Tests," NBER Working Papers 11323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2005. "Cash-Flow Risk, Discount Risk, and the Value Premium," NBER Working Papers 11816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Andrew Ang & Joseph chen, 2005. "CAPM Over the Long Run: 1926-2001," NBER Working Papers 11903, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2001. "Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 8309, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Dmitry Livdan & Horacio Sapriza & Lu Zhang, 2006. "Financially Constrained Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 12555, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. François Gourio, 2005. "Operating Leverage,Stock Market Cyclicality,and the Cross-Section of Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-002, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. Long Chen & Lu Zhang, 2007. "Neoclassical Factors," NBER Working Papers 13282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Erica X. N. Li & Dmitry Livdan & Lu Zhang, 2006. "Optimal Market Timing," NBER Working Papers 12014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Long Chen & Ralitsa Petkova & Lu Zhang, 2006. "The Expected Value Premium," NBER Working Papers 12183, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  21. Pástor, Lubos & Veronesi, Pietro, 2003. "Stock Prices and IPO Waves," CEPR Discussion Papers 4002, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  22. Jiang, Danling, 2008. "Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Firm Valuations and Expected Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 8325, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  23. Martin Lettau & Jessica Wachter, 2005. "Why is Long-Horizon Equity Less Risky? A Duration-Based Explanation of the Value Premium," NBER Working Papers 11144, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  24. Naiping Lu & Lu Zhang, 2005. "The Value Spread as a Predictor of Returns," NBER Working Papers 11326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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