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Non-linear predictability of UK stock market returns Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics David McMillan
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Paper provided by Money Macro and Finance Research Group in its series Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 with number
63.
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Date of creation: 27 Sep 2004Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mmf:mmfc03:63Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.essex.ac.uk/afm/mmf/index.html
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Keywords: Find related papers by JEL classification: C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
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Other versions: Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993.
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M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 1995.
"Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
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"Nonlinear Aspects of Goods-Market Arbitrage and Adjustment: Heckscher's Commodity Points Revisited ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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Other versions:
Maurice Obstfeld and Alan M. Taylor., 1997.
"Nonlinear Aspects of Goods-Market Arbitrage and Adjustment: Heckscher's Commodity Points Revisited ,"
Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers
C97-088, University of California at Berkeley.
Maurice Obstfeld & Alan M. Taylor, 1997.
"Nonlinear Aspects of Goods-Market Arbitrage and Adjustment: Heckscher's Commodity Points Revisited ,"
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6053, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Journal of the Japanese and International Economies ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) Biais, Bruno & Hillion, Pierre, 1994.
"Insider and Liquidity Trading in Stock and Options Markets ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
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French, Kenneth R. & Schwert, G. William & Stambaugh, Robert F., 1987.
"Expected stock returns and volatility ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 3-29, September.
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Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Allan Timmermann, 2000.
"Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1229-1262, 06.
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Other versions: David G. McMillan, 2001.
"Non-Linear Predictability of Stock Market Returns: Evidence from Non-Parametric and Threshold Models ,"
Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics
0102, Department of Economics, University of St. Andrews.
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Campbell, John Y., 1987.
"Stock returns and the term structure ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
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Other versions: De Long, J Bradford & Andrei Shleifer & Lawrence H. Summers & Robert J. Waldmann, 1990.
"Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 703-38, August.
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Other versions: Shleifer, Andrei & Summers, Lawrence H, 1990.
"The Noise Trader Approach to Finance ,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives ,
American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 19-33, Spring.
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Lawrence R. Glosten & Ravi Jagannathan & David E. Runkle, 1993.
"On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks ,"
Staff Report
157, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
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Other versions: Martin Martens & Paul Kofman & Ton C. F. Vorst, 1998.
"A threshold error-correction model for intraday futures and index returns ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 245-263.
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Taylor, Mark P. & Allen, Helen, 1992.
"The use of technical analysis in the foreign exchange market ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 304-314, June.
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Balvers, Ronald J & Cosimano, Thomas F & McDonald, Bill, 1990.
" Predicting Stock Returns in an Efficient Market ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1109-28, September.
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Dumas, Bernard, 1992.
"Dynamic Equilibrium and the Real Exchange Rate in a Spatially Separated World ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 153-80.
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W. A. Broock & J. A. Scheinkman & W. D. Dechert & B. LeBaron, 1996.
"A test for independence based on the correlation dimension ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 197-235.
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David M. Cutler & James M. Poterba & Lawrence H. Summers, 1989.
"What Moves Stock Prices? ,"
NBER Working Papers
2538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions: Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1989.
"Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 23-49, November.
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Ferson, Wayne E & Harvey, Campbell R, 1993.
"The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 527-66.
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