Nonlinear Adjustment of Emerging Stock Market Returns: Symmetrical or Asymmetrical
AbstractThis study examines whether the nonlinear adjustment dynamic of stock returns to the equilibrium level in an emerging stock market is symmetrical or asymmetrical. The empirical results suggest that the data generating process of Iran stock returns series is nonlinear Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) and dynamic adjustment of the stock returns to the long run equilibrium level is asymmetric. The adjustment mechanism of the Iran stock returns deviations from the equilibrium level are different in the bull and bear markets.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Econjournals in its journal International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues.
Volume (Year): 2 (2012)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Web page: http://www.econjournals.com
Stock returns; Smooth transition; Bull and bear markets;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
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- Bradley, Michael D. & Jansen, Dennis W., 2004. "Forecasting with a nonlinear dynamic model of stock returns and industrial production," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 321-342.
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