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Return and Volatility Spillovers among the East Asian Equity Markets

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Author Info
Kamil Yilmaz () (Koc University)

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Abstract

This article examines the extent of contagion and interdependence across the East Asian equity markets since early 1990s and compares the ongoing crisis with earlier episodes. Using the forecast error variance decomposition from a vector autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences significant bursts during major market crises, including the East Asian crisis. The fact that both return and volatility spillover indices reached their respective peaks during the current global financial crisis attests to the severity of the current episode.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by TUSIAD-Koc University Economic Research Forum in its series TÜSİAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum Working Papers with number 0907.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:koc:wpaper:0907

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Related research
Keywords: Stock returns; Volatility; Spillovers; Vector autoregression; Variance decomposition;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Michael P. Dooley & Michael M. Hutchison, 2009. "Transmission of the U.S. Subprime Crisis to Emerging Markets: Evidence on the Decoupling-Recoupling Hypothesis," NBER Working Papers 15120, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. FrancisX. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, 01. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Garman, Mark B & Klass, Michael J, 1980. "On the Estimation of Security Price Volatilities from Historical Data," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(1), pages 67-78, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Edwards, Sebastian & Susmel, Raul, 2001. "Volatility dependence and contagion in emerging equity markets," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 505-532, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Baur, Dirk, 2003. "Testing for contagion--mean and volatility contagion," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 405-422, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Heiko Hesse & Nathaniel Frank, 2009. "Financial Spillovers to Emerging Markets during the Global Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 09/104, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-13.


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