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Bilateral De-Jure Exchange Rate Regimes and Foreign Direct Investment: A Gravity Analysis

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  • Philipp Harms

    (Johannes Gutenberg-University)

  • Jakub Knaze

    (Johannes Gutenberg-University)

Abstract

This paper uses a newly constructed dataset on bilateral de-jure exchange rate regimes to estimate the effect of expected exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment (FDI). The new dataset accounts for the fact that officially pegging to one currency is uninfor- mative about the exchange rate regime prevailing vis-à-vis other currencies, and it allows characterizing bilateral exchange rate regimes based on countries' ex-ante announcements rather than ex-post observations. We present a simple model that suggests that announced exchange rate stability enhances bilateral FDI ows. The empirical evidence we provide o ers some support to this claim: countries that are linked by a non- oating exchange rate regime seem to attract significantly more FDI from each other. In particular, rela- tionships with no separate legal tender like currency unions are most favorable to FDI in both developed and developing countries. Moreover, we find substantial differences between developing and developed countries, with the effect of announced exchange rate stability being much stronger for the former group than for the latter.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Harms & Jakub Knaze, 2018. "Bilateral De-Jure Exchange Rate Regimes and Foreign Direct Investment: A Gravity Analysis," Working Papers 1808, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
    • Handle: RePEc:jgu:wpaper:1808
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    2. Hou, Jia & Knaze, Jakub, 2019. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Regimes on Business Cycle Synchronization: A Robust Analysis," MPRA Paper 95182, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Hassan, Ramin & Loualiche, Erik & Pecora, Alexandre R. & Ward, Colin, 2023. "International trade and the risk in bilateral exchange rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
    4. Sophie Therese Schneider & Konstantin M. Wacker, 2022. "Explaining the global landscape of foreign direct investment: Knowledge capital, gravity, and the role of culture and institutions," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(10), pages 3080-3108, October.
    5. Harms, Philipp & Knaze, Jakub, 2021. "Effective Exchange Rate Regimes and Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242340, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Gurova, Irina (Гурова, Ирина), 2019. "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Russia: Empirical Study [Факторы Прямых Иностранных Инвестиций В России: Эмпирическое Исследование]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 6, pages 36-61, December.
    7. Laurent Didier, 2020. "Exchange rate regimes, trade in raw materials and exporters behavior: Evidence from some Small Island Developing States (SIDS)," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2894-2919.
    8. Jia Hou & Jakub Knaze, 2022. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Business Cycle Synchronization," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 523-564, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate regimes; Foreign direct investment; Gravity equation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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