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Elasticities of Turkish Exports and Imports

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Author Info

  • Ayla Ogus

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Izmir University of Economics)

  • Niloufer Sohrabji

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Simmons College)

Abstract

The Turkish current account has been exploding in the last few years leading to concerns of a crisis. One of the primary factors identified in the rising deficits is the appreciating lira. In addition, income elasticity of exports and imports can also shed light on continuing trade deficits. In this paper we analyze exchange rate and income elasticity of Turkish imports and exports. We find a significant gap between domestic and foreign income elasticities (for exports and imports respectively) which points to a threat of growing trade deficits. In addition we also find that the exchange rate elasticity is negative for both Turkish exports and imports. This indicates that depreciation of the Turkish lira will have a negative effect on both imports and exports.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Izmir University of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0906.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:izm:wpaper:0906

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Related research

Keywords: Cointegration; current account deficits; exchange rate and income elasticity; Turkey;

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Cited by:
  1. Hakan Kara & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Turkiye’de Konjonkturel Etkilerden Arindirilmis Cari Islemler Dengesi," Working Papers 1340, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Ketenci, Natalya, 2013. "The effect of global financial crisis on trade elasticities: Evidence from BRIICS countries and Turkey," MPRA Paper 54659, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Anca GHERMAN & George ÅžTEFAN & Adriana FILIP, 2013. "Exchange rate volatility effects on export competitiveness. Romanian Case," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(9(586)), pages 39-50, September.
  4. A. Hakan Kara & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Cyclically Adjusted Current Account Balance," CBT Research Notes in Economics, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 1318, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

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