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Get Training or Wait? Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed in West Germany

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Author Info
Bernd Fitzenberger () (Goethe University of Frankfurt, ZEW, IFS and IZA Bonn)
Aderonke Osikominu () (Goethe University of Frankfurt)
Robert Völter () (Goethe University of Frankfurt and CDSEM, University of Mannheim)

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Abstract

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 2121.

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Length: 57 pages
Date of creation: May 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2121

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Related research
Keywords: multiple treatments; training programs; employment effects; local linear matching; administrative data; active labor market programs;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Public Policy
H43 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    Other versions:
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    Other versions:
  4. Michael Lechner & Ruth Miquel & Conny Wunsch, 2005. "The Curse and Blessing of Training the Unemployed in a Changing Economy: The Case of East Germany after Unification," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2005 2005-15, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Robert G. Fay, 1996. "Enhancing the Effectiveness of Active Labour Market Policies: Evidence from Programme Evaluations in OECD Countries," OECD Labour Market and Social Policy Occasional Papers 18, OECD, Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs. [Downloadable!]
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    Other versions:
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    Other versions:
  9. Lechner, Michael, . "An Evaluation of Public Sector Sponsored Continuous Vocational Training Programs in East Germany," IVS discussion paper series 539, Institut für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik (IVS), University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Lechner, Michael & Miquel, Ruth & Wunsch, Conny, 2005. "Long run Effects of Public Sector Sponsored Training in West Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers 4851, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. Jochen Kluve & Christoph M. Schmidt, 2002. "Can training and employment subsidies combat European unemployment?," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 17(35), pages 409-448, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  15. Heckman, James J & Ichimura, Hidehiko & Todd, Petra, 1998. "Matching as an Econometric Evaluation Estimator," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 65(2), pages 261-94, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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