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Inward and Outward Spillovers in the SACU Area

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Jorge I Canales Kriljenko
  • Ms. Farayi Gwenhamo
  • Mr. Saji Thomas

Abstract

Spillovers from South Africa into the other members of the Souther Africa Customs Union (known as the BLNS for Botstwana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland) are substantial reflecting sizeable real and financial interlinkages. However, shocks to real GDP growth in South Africa do not seem to systematically affect growth developments in BLNS countries as a group. Nevertheless, vector autoregressions, which allow country-specific parameters, suggest some strong spillovers onto the smaller economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jorge I Canales Kriljenko & Ms. Farayi Gwenhamo & Mr. Saji Thomas, 2013. "Inward and Outward Spillovers in the SACU Area," IMF Working Papers 2013/031, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/031
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mrs. Sarwat Jahan, 2012. "Spillovers to Low-Income Countries: Importance of Systemic Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2012/049, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Deaton, Angus & Miller, Ron, 1996. "International Commodity Prices, Macroeconomic Performance and Politics in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 5(3), pages 99-191, October.
    3. Paul Collier & Benedikt Goderis, 2007. "Commodity Prices, Growth, and the Natural Resource Curse: Reconciling a Conundrum," CSAE Working Paper Series 2007-15, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    4. Era Dabla-Norris & Raphael Espinoza & Sarwat Jahan, 2015. "Spillovers to low-income countries: importance of systemic emerging markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(53), pages 5707-5725, November.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2009. "Spillovers From the Rest of the World Into Sub-Saharan African Countries," IMF Working Papers 2009/155, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
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    Cited by:

    1. AFOLABI Tunde Ahmed & NANKELA Ndinelago Monika, 2019. "The impact of exchange rate regime on Balance of payments in Namibia," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 3(5), pages 133-151.
    2. Olivier Basdevant & Andrew Jonelis & Borislava Mircheva & Slavi Slavov, 2015. "The Mystery of Missing Real Spillovers in Southern Africa: Some Facts and Possible Explanations," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 371-389, September.
    3. Oyenyinka Sunday Omoshoro‐Jones & Lumengo Bonga‐Bonga, 2022. "Intra‐regional spillovers from Nigeria and South Africa to the rest of Africa: New evidence from a FAVAR model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 251-275, January.

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