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International Commodity Prices, Macroeconomic Performance, and Politics in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Author Info
Deaton, A-S
Miller, R-I

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Abstract

This study loods at the experience of Sub-Saharan Africa in dealing with commodity-price variability and discusses whether poor macroeconomic results should be attributed to the inherent difficulty of predicting commodity-price fluctuations, or, rather, to flawed internal political and fiscal arrangements. In an attempt to establish the facts and to cast light on some of the mechanisms, it examines pan-African econometric evidence on the effects of commodity-price fluctuations on national output and its components.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University, in its series Princeton Studies in International Economics with number 79.

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Length: 96 pages
Date of creation: 1995
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:prinfi:79

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Postal: International Finance Section, Department of Economics Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, U.S.A
Phone: (609) 258-4000
Fax: (609) 258-6419
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Web page: http://www.econ.princeton.edu/
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Related research
Keywords: BUSINESS CYCLES ; INTERNATIONAL TRADE ; AFRICA;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
N17 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Growth and Fluctuations - - - Africa; Oceania
N27 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Africa; Oceania

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  1. Paul Cashin & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Ratna Sahay, 2003. "Commodity Currencies and the Real Exchange Rate," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 236, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Margaret S. McMillan & William A. Masters, 2000. "Africa's Growth Trap: A Political-Economy Model of Taxation, R&D and Investment," CID Working Papers 50, Center for International Development at Harvard University. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Paganetto Luigi & Becchetti Leonardo, 2001. "Globalizzazione,Rivoluzione Tecnologica E Commercio Internazionale: Le Nuove Sfide," Departmental Working Papers 153, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
  4. Arbache, Jorge & Go, Delfin S. & Page, John, 2008. "Is Africa's economy at a turning point?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4519, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  5. Margaret S. McMillan, 1999. "Foreign Direct Investment: Leader or Follower?," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 9901, Department of Economics, Tufts University. [Downloadable!]
  6. Chantal Dupasquier & Patrick N. Osakwe, 2006. "Trade Regimes, Liberalization and Macroeconomic Instability in Africa," SCAPE Policy Research Working Paper Series 0604, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics, SCAPE. [Downloadable!]
  7. Christopher Blattman & Jason Hwang & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2003. "The Terms of Trade and Economic Growth in the Periphery 1870-1938," NBER Working Papers 9940, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Paul Cashin & Catherine Pattillo, 2006. "African terms of trade and the commodity terms of trade: close cousins or distant relatives?," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(8), pages 845-859, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Raddatz, Claudio, 2005. "Are external shocks responsible for the instability of output in low income countries?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3680, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Afeikhena Jerome & Olawale Ogunkola, 2000. "Characteristics and Behavior of African Commodity/Product Markets and Market Institutions and Their Consequences for Economic Growth," CID Working Papers 35, Center for International Development at Harvard University. [Downloadable!]
  11. Aron, Janine, 2000. "Growth and Institutions: A Review of the Evidence," World Bank Research Observer, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(1), pages 99-135, February. [Downloadable!]
  12. Michael Webb, 2005. "The conflicting impacts of export fluctuations and diversification programmes," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 271-280, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Collier, Paul & Dehn, Jan, 2001. "Aid, shocks, and growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2688, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  14. Paul Collier & Jan Willem Gunning, 1999. "Why Has Africa Grown Slowly?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 3-22, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Dehn, Jan, 2000. "The effects on growth of commodity price uncertainty and shocks," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2455, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  16. Paul Cashin & C John McDermott & Alasdair Scott, 1999. "Booms and slumps in world commodity prices," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G99/8, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Augustin Kwasi Fosu, 2000. "The International Dimension of African Economic Growth," CID Working Papers 34, Center for International Development at Harvard University. [Downloadable!]
  18. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & McDermott, C John & Prasad, Eswar S, 2000. "Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Developing Countries: Some Stylized Facts," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 251-85, May. [Downloadable!]
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