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Occupational routine-intensity and the costs of job loss : evidence from mass layoffs

Author

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  • Blien, Uwe

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany ; University of Bamberg ; IZA)

  • Dauth, Wolfgang

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany ; University of Würzburg ; IZA)

  • Roth, Duncan

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"This paper analyses how differences in the degree of occupational routine-intensity affect the costs of job loss. We use worker-level data on mass layoffs in Germany between 1980 and 2010 and provide causal evidence that workers who used to be employed in more routine-intensive occupa-tions suffer larger and more persistent earnings losses after the mass layoff. Furthermore, we are able to show that, at least initially, earnings losses are primarily due to a reduction in the number of days in employment, suggesting that routine-intensive workers face considerable frictions in the adjustment to job loss. Conditional on finding a new job, routine-intensive workers are more likely to change their occupations but end up systematically in the lower end of their new occupa-tion's wage distribution." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Blien, Uwe & Dauth, Wolfgang & Roth, Duncan, 2019. "Occupational routine-intensity and the costs of job loss : evidence from mass layoffs," IAB-Discussion Paper 201925, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
  • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabdpa:201925
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    2. Mária Balgová & Hannah Illing, 2023. "Job Displacement and Migrant Labor Market Assimilation," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_457, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    3. Martins-Neto, Antonio & Cirera, Xavier & Coad, Alex, 2022. "Routine-biased technological change and employee outcomes after mass layoffs: Evidence from Brazil," MERIT Working Papers 2022-014, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    4. Neumann, Uwe, 2023. "Regional adaptability to digital change: May the Swabian force be with you," Ruhr Economic Papers 1004, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    5. Arntz, Melanie & Ivanov, Boris & Pohlan, Laura, 2022. "Regional Structural Change and the Effects of Job Loss," IZA Discussion Papers 15313, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Balgova, Maria & Illing, Hannah, 2023. "Job Displacement and Migrant Labor Market Assimilation," IZA Discussion Papers 16349, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Hensvik, Lena & Skans, Oskar Nordström, 2023. "The skill-specific impact of past and projected occupational decline," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Bachmann, Ronald & Demir, Gökay & Green, Colin P. & Uhlendorff, Arne, 2022. "The Role of Within-Occupation Task Changes in Wage Development," IZA Discussion Papers 15647, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Schmidpeter, Bernhard & Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf, 2021. "Automation, unemployment, and the role of labor market training," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    10. Diego Dabed Sitnisky & Sabrina Genz & Emilie Rademakers, 2023. "Resilience to Automation: The Role of Task Overlap for Job Finding," Working Papers 2312, Utrecht School of Economics.
    11. Lordan, Grace & Stringer, Eliza-Jane, 2022. "People versus machines: The impact of being in an automatable job on Australian worker’s mental health and life satisfaction," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    12. Duan, Yige & Jost, Oskar & Jost, Ramona, 2022. "Beyond lost earnings: The long-term impact of jobdisplacement on workers' commuting behavior," CLEF Working Paper Series 44, Canadian Labour Economics Forum (CLEF), University of Waterloo.
    13. Jon Ellingsen & Caroline Espegren, 2022. "Lost in transition? Earnings losses of displaced petroleum workers," Working Papers No 06/2022, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    14. Athey, Susan & Simon, Lisa K. & Skans, Oskar N. & Vikstrom, Johan & Yakymovych, Yaroslav, 2023. "The Heterogeneous Earnings Impact of Job Loss across Workers, Establishments, and Markets," Research Papers 4148, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    15. Victor Hernandez Martinez & Hans Holter & Roberto Pinheiro, 2022. "The Hedgehog’s Curse: Knowledge Specialization and Displacement Loss," Working Papers 22-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    16. Boddin, Dominik & Kroeger, Thilo, 2021. "Structural change revisited: The rise of manufacturing jobs in the service sector," Discussion Papers 38/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Nicola Cassandro & Marco Centra & Dario Guarascio & Piero Esposito, 2021. "What drives employment–unemployment transitions? Evidence from Italian task-based data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(3), pages 1109-1147, October.
    18. Esposito, Piero & Scicchitano, Sergio, 2022. "Educational mismatch and labour market transitions in Italy: Is there an unemployment trap?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 138-155.
    19. Cortes, Guido Matias & Lerche, Adrian & Schönberg, Uta & Tschopp, Jeanne, 2023. "Technological Change, Firm Heterogeneity and Wage Inequality," IZA Discussion Papers 16070, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    20. Maria Balgova & Hannah Illing, 2023. "Job Displacement and Migrant Labor Market Assimilation," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 246, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    21. Antonio Martins-Neto & Nanditha Mathew & Pierre Mohnen & Tania Treibich, 2021. "Is There Job Polarization in Developing Economies? A Review and Outlook," CESifo Working Paper Series 9444, CESifo.
    22. Arelys López-Concepción & Ana Gil-Lacruz & Isabel Saz-Gil & Víctor Bazán-Monasterio, 2022. "Social Well-Being for a Sustainable Future: The Influence of Trust in Big Business and Banks on Perceptions of Technological Development from a Life Satisfaction Perspective in Latin America," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    23. Illing, Hannah & Koch, Theresa, 2021. "Who Suffers the Greatest Loss? Costs of Job Displacement for Migrants and Natives," IAB-Discussion Paper 202108, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    24. Kerstin Hotte & Melline Somers & Angelos Theodorakopoulos, 2022. "Technology and jobs: A systematic literature review," Papers 2204.01296, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bundesrepublik Deutschland ; Auswirkungen ; berufliche Reintegration ; Berufsgruppe ; Determinanten ; Einkommenseffekte ; IAB-Betriebs-Historik-Panel ; Integrierte Erwerbsbiografien ; Kosten ; Massenentlassungen ; Routine ; Tätigkeitsmerkmale ; Arbeitsplatzverlust ; 1980-2010;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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