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Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization, Durables Consumption, and the Stylized Facts

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  • Edward F. Buffie

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Indiana University)

  • Manoj Atolia

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Florida State University)

Abstract

In this paper we show that a model featuring durables consumption, weak credibility, and sticky prices can explain many of the stylized facts associated with exchange-rate-based stabilization, including the quantitative variation exhibited by key macroeconomic variables. In standard models, the boom phase of ERBS is nothing more than a tepid expansion – changes in spending, real output, and the real exchange rate are unexceptional. But when durables are part of the choice set, the boom is truly a boom: following a temporary reduction in the crawl, total consumption spending rises 12-20%, the real exchange rate appreciates 40-55%, and the current account deficit swells to 5-7% of GDP. None of these results requires easy intertemporal substitution in consumption.

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File URL: ftp://econpapers.fsu.edu/RePEc/fsu/wpaper/wp2005_12_01.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2009-01
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Department of Economics, Florida State University in its series Working Papers with number wp2005_12_01.

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Length: 47
Date of creation: Dec 2005
Date of revision: Jan 2009
Handle: RePEc:fsu:wpaper:wp2005_12_01

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Keywords: Reverse Shooting; Global Nonlinear Saddlepath Solution;

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