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Disinflating From Moderate Inflation

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  • Marc Hofstetter

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Abstract

This paper studies the behavior of several macroeconomic variables during disinflationary episodes in Latin-America and the Caribbean (LAC). In particular, it focuses on disinflations from low and moderate peaks for the period 1973-2001. The methodology used for studying the average behavior of macroeconomic variables across disinflations overcomes the traditional problem of scarce long time series (of high frequency data) that has hindered the empirical research of monetary shocks in many LAC countries. Some of the important findings are as follows: (i) while GDP growth slowed down during the disinflations of the 70s and 80s, there is no evidence of this for the 90s; (ii) the trade balance significantly deteriorated during the disinflations; (iii) the nominal devaluation rate slowed down during the episodes; and (iv) the real exchange rate appreciated during the episodes.

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File URL: http://economia.uniandes.edu.co/publicaciones/9ef5d2007-04.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE in its series DOCUMENTOS CEDE with number 002373.

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Length: 26
Date of creation: 05 Mar 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000089:002373

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Keywords: Inflation Growth Disinflation Trade Balance Exchange Rate;

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  2. Marc Hofstetter, 2006. "Disinflations In Latin America And The Caribbean: A Free Lunch?," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 002375, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
  3. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2001. "Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 8290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  19. Marc Hofstetter, 2005. "Why Have So Many Disinflations Succeeded?," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 003777, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
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