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Encompassing and rational expectations: how sequential corroboration can imply refutation Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Neil R. Ericsson
David F. Hendry
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Even though pieces of empirical evidence individually may corroborate an economic theory, their joint existence may refute that same theory. We discuss examples concerning testing for omitted variables, simultaneity, and rational expectations in the context of general-to-simple versus simple-to-general modeling. The proposition in the first sentence strongly favors the building of empirical models which are consistent with all available evidence.
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Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series International Finance Discussion Papers with number
354.
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Date of creation: 1989Date of revision:
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Keywords: Economics ; Rational expectations (Economic theory) ; Other versions of this item:
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
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"Constructive data mining: modeling consumers' expenditure in Venezuela ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
663, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 2005.
"General-to-specific modeling: an overview and selected bibliography ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
838, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
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