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Conditional econometric modelling : an application to new house prices in the United Kingdom Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Neil R. Ericsson
David F. Hendry
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The statistical formulation of the econometric model is viewed as a sequence of marginalizing and conditioning operations which reduce the parameterization to manageable dimensions. Such operations entail that the "error" is a derived rather than an autonomous process, suggesting designing the model to satisfy data-based and theory criteria. The relevant concepts are explained and applied to data modelling of UK new house prices in the framework of an economic theory-model of house builders. The econometric model is compared with univariate time-series models and tested against a range of alternatives.
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Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series International Finance Discussion Papers with number
254.
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Date of creation: 1985Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:254Contact details of provider: Postal: 20th Street and Constitution Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20551 Web page: http://www.federalreserve.gov/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Hendry, David F. & Pagan, Adrian R. & Sargan, J.Denis, 1984.
"Dynamic specification ,"
Handbook of Econometrics ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bean, Charles R, 1981.
"An Econometric Model of Manufacturing Investment in the UK ,"
Economic Journal ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Domowitz, Ian & White, Halbert, 1982.
"Misspecified models with dependent observations ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 35-58, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kiviet, Jan F, 1986.
"On the Rigour of Some Misspecification Tests for Modelling Dynamic Relationships ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(2), pages 241-61, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jarque, Carlos M. & Bera, Anil K., 1980.
"Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 255-259.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Davidson, James E H, et al, 1978.
"Econometric Modelling of the Aggregate Time-Series Relationship between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 661-92, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hendry, David F. & Richard, Jean-Francois, 1982.
"On the formulation of empirical models in dynamic econometrics ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 3-33, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Pesaran, M H, 1974.
"On the General Problem of Model Selection ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2), pages 153-71, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Dastoor, Naorayex K., 1983.
"Some aspects of testing non-nested hypotheses ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 213-228, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Davidson, James E. H. & Hendry, David F., 1981.
"Interpreting econometric evidence : The behaviour of consumers' expenditure in the UK ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 177-192.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Godfrey, Leslie G, 1978.
"Testing against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1293-1301, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Anderson, Gordon J & Hendry, David F, 1984.
"An Econometric Model of United Kingdom Building Societies ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 46(3), pages 185-210, August.
James MacKinnon, 1983.
"Model specification tests against non-nested alternatives ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 85-110.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Engle, Robert F, 1982.
"Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
David F. Hendry & Neil R. Ericsson, 1989.
"An econometric analysis of UK money demand in MONETARY TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM by Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
355, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Neil R. Ericsson, 1994.
"Conditional and structural error correction models ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
487, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Olympia Bover, 1993.
"Un modelo empírico de la evolución de los precios de la vivienda en España ,"
Investigaciones Economicas ,
Fundación SEPI, vol. 17(1), pages 65-86, January.
[Downloadable!]
Neil R. Ericsson, 1991.
"Parameter constancy, mean square forecast errors, and measuring forecast performance: an exposition, extensions, and illustration ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
412, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Ericsson, Neil R., 1992.
"Parameter constancy, mean square forecast errors, and measuring forecast performance: An exposition, extensions, and illustration ,"
Journal of Policy Modeling ,
Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 465-495, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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