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Series enlazadas de algunos agregados económicos nacionales y regionales, 1955-2007. Versión 2.1

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Angel de la Fuente

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Abstract

En este trabajo se construyen series “homogéneas” de VAB a precios corrientes y constantes, empleo y población para España y sus regiones durante el periodo 1955-2007. Estas series se obtienen enlazando la Contabilidad Regional del INE con las series elaboradas por Julio Alcalde y colaboradores para la Fundación BBVA. El “punto de corte” en el que se abandona esta última fuente en favor de la anterior como referencia para la construcción de la serie enlazada se determina utilizando un procedimiento que permite estimar cuál de las dos series disponibles generará un estimador con menor error cuadrático medio cuando se utiliza como variable dependiente en una regresión sobre una variable independiente arbitraria. La discrepancia entre ambas series que aflora en el momento del enlace se reparte entre los niveles iniciales y las tasas de crecimiento de la serie más antigua utilizando, en la medida de lo posible, estimaciones externas del valor de las variables de interés a comienzos del período muestral.

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Paper provided by FEDEA in its series Economic Reports with number 10-09.

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Date of creation: Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:fda:fdacee:10-09

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-29.


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