The Medium- and Long-term Effects of an Expansion of Education on Poverty in C.te d'Ivoire: A Dynamic Microsimulation Study
AbstractI use a dynamic microsimulation model to analyse the distributional effects of an expansion of education in CÃ´te d'Ivoire in the medium and long term (1998-2015). The simulations are performed in order to replicate several policies in force or subject to debate in this country. Various hypotheses concerning the evolution of returns to education and labour demand are tested. The direct effects between education and income as well as the different transmission channels, such as occupational choices, fertility, and household composition, are analysed. The effects of the educational expansion on the growth of household incomes, their distribution and poverty depend very crucially on the hypothesis made on the evolution of returns to education and labour demand. If returns to education remain constant and the labour market segmented, the effects will be very modest. _________________________________ Jâutilise un modÃ¨le de micro-simulation dynamique pour analyser les effets distributifs d'une expansion de l'Ã©ducation en CÃ´te d'Ivoire Ã moyen et long terme (1998-2015). Les simulations sont effectuÃ©es, selon plusieurs politiques actuellement en place ou en discussion dans ce pays. Des hypothÃ¨ses variÃ©es concernant l'Ã©volution du rendement de l'Ã©ducation et de la demande de travail sont examinÃ©es. Les effets directs entre Ã©ducation et revenu comme les diffÃ©rents canaux de transmission, tels que les choix d'activitÃ©, la fÃ©conditÃ© et la composition des mÃ©nages sont analysÃ©s. Les effets de l'expansion de l'Ã©ducation sur la croissance des revenus des mÃ©nages, la distribution du revenu et la pauvretÃ© dÃ©pendent de maniÃ¨re cruciale de l'hypothÃ¨se faite concernant l'Ã©volution du rendement de l'Ã©ducation et de la demande de travail. Si le rendement de l'Ã©ducation reste constant et le marchÃ© du travail segmentÃ©, les effets seront relativement modÃ©rÃ©s.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) in its series Working Paper Series with number UNU-WIDER Research Paper RP2004/32.
Length: 32 pages
Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
education policy; human capital; inequality; Kuznets curve; microsimulation; poverty;
Other versions of this item:
- Michael Grimm, 2002. "The medium and long term effects of an expansion of education on poverty in Côte d'Ivoire. A dynamic microsimulation study," Working Papers DT/2002/12, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
- Grimm, Michael, 2002. "The medium and long term effects of an expansion of education on poverty in Côte d’Ivoire. A dynamic microsimulation study," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/4570, Paris Dauphine University.
- I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
- I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
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