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Currency Crises: Is Central America Different? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Gerardo Esquivel (El Colegio de Mexico)
Felipe B. Larrain (Harvard University)
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In a recent paper we analyzed the determinants of currency crises in a sample of 30 high and middle income countries (Esquivel and Larrain, 1998). In this work we focus on Central America and analyze whether the determinants of currency crises in this region are different from those identified in our previous work. We conclude that they are not, and show that a small set of macroeconomic variables helps to explain the currency crises that took place in Central America between 1976 and 1996. The results of tests applied here support the empirical approach that attempts to explain currency crises by focusing on the behavior of a few macroeconomic indicators. Part of the interest of this result stems from the fact that the Central American countries had an exchange rate system markedly different from that prevailing in the economies that are usually analyzed in similar studies.
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Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers with number
0566.
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Date of creation: 01 Aug 2000Date of revision:
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Sebastian Edwards & Fernando J. Losada, 1994.
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Beckmann, Daniela & Menkhoff, Lukas & Sawischlewski, Katja, 2005.
"Robust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems ,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-322, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Sawischlewski, Katja & Menkhoff, Lukas & Beckmann, Daniela, 2005.
"Robust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems ,"
Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005
3, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
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"Robust lessons about practical early warning systems ,"
Journal of Policy Modeling ,
Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 163-193, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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