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Fixed Exchange Rates as a Means to Price Stability: What Have We Learned?

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Author Info
Svensson, Lars E O

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Abstract

This paper discusses what we have learned from last year's currency crises in the ERM and Nordic countries about fixed exchange rates as a means to achieve price stability. After discussing the explanations for the crises, the paper concludes that fixed exchange rates are not a short cut to price stability. Monetary stability and credibility have to be built at home and cannot easily be imported from abroad. Fixed exchange rates are more fragile and difficult to maintain than previously thought. They may even be in conflict with price stability, by inducing a procyclical destabilizing monetary policy, and by inducing an inflation bias. Building monetary credibility is even more important with flexible exchange rates.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 872.

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Date of creation: Jan 1994
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:872

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Related research
Keywords: ERM; Fixed Exchange Rates; Price Stability;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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  1. Rose, Andrew K. & Svensson, Lars E. O., 1994. "European exchange rate credibility before the fall," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1185-1216, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Ben Bernanke & Frederic Mishkin, 1993. "Central Bank Behavior and the Strategy of Monetary Policy: Observations From Six Industrialized Countries," NBER Working Papers 4082, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1986. "Rational and Self-fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 72-81, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Flood, Robert P & Garber, Peter M, 1984. "Gold Monetization and Gold Discipline," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 92(1), pages 90-107, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Giavazzi, Francesco & Spaventa, Luigi, 1990. "The `New' EMS," CEPR Discussion Papers 369, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Francesco Giavazzi & Luigi Spaventa, 1990. "The "New" EMS," Working Papers 86, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  6. Frankel, Jeffrey & Phillips, Steven, 1992. "The European Monetary System: Credible at Last?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 44(4), pages 791-816, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Miller, Marcus & Sutherland, Alan, 1991. "The "Walters Critique" of the EMS--A Case of Inconsistent Expectations?," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 59(0), pages 23-37, Supplemen.
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  8. Barry Eichengreen & Charles Wyplosz, 1993. "The Unstable EMS," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 24(1993-1), pages 51-144. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Niko Gobbin, Bruno Merlevede, 2000. "The Russian Crisis: A Debt Perspective," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 141-163, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Aaron Tornell & Andrés Velasco, 1994. "Fiscal Discipline and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime," RES Working Papers 4004, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  3. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1997. "Economic Structure and the Decision to Adopt a Common Currency," Seminar Papers 611, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Sebastian Edwards & Fernando J. Losada, 1994. "Fixed Exchange Rates, Inflation and Macroeconomic Discipline," NBER Working Papers 4661, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Tornell, Aaron & Velasco, Andres, 1995. "Fixed Versus Flexible Exchange Rates: Which Provides More Fiscal Discipline," Working Papers 95-06, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 1995. "The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 5191, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Jesus Rodriguez Lopez & Hugo Rodriguez Mendizabal, 2003. "How tight should one's hands be tied? Fear of floating and credibility of exchange rate regimes," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 593.03, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
  8. Bernd Kempa & Michael Nelles, 1999. "Misalignments of real exchange rates and the credibility of nominal currency bands," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 135(4), pages 613-628, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1995. "Monetary Policy with Flexible Exchange Rates and Forward Interest Rates as Indicators," NBER Working Papers 4633, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2004. "A Model for Forecasting Swedish Inflation," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 246/2004, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  11. Bagella , Michele & Becchetti , Leonardo & Hasan , Iftekhar, 2004. "The anticipated and concurring effects of EMU: exchange rate volatility, institutions and growth," Research Discussion Papers 15/2004, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jesús Rodríguez López & Hugo Rodríguez Mendizábal, 2003. "How Tight Should Central Bank’s Hands be Tied? Credibility, Volatility and the Optimal Band Width of a Target Zone," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2003/24, Centro de Estudios Andaluces. [Downloadable!]
  13. Aaron Tornell & Andrés Velasco, 1994. "La disciplina fiscal y la elección de régimen cambiario," RES Working Papers 4005, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  14. Pierre Siklos & Rod Tarajos, 1996. "Fundamentals and devaluation expectations in target zones: Some new evidence from the ERM," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 35-59, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Galindo, Arturo J. & Maloney, William F., 1998. "Second thoughts on second moments : panel evidence on asset-based models of currency crises," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1939, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  16. Gottfries, Nils, 2003. "Booms and Busts in EMU," Working Paper Series 2003:29, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  17. Ramaswamy, Ramana, 1997. "Monetary Frameworks - Is There a Preferred Option for the European Central Bank?," IMF Papers on Policy Analysis and Assessments 97/6, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  18. Jesús Rodríguez López & Hugo Rodríguez Mendizábal, 2006. "The optimal degree of exchange rate flexibility: A target zone approach," Working Papers 06.22, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Jesús Rodríguez López & Hugo Rodríguez Mendizábal, 2006. "How tight should one's hands be tied? Fear of floating and credibility of exchange regimes," Working Papers 06.03, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  20. Michele Bagella & Leonardo Becchetti & Iftekhar Hasan, 2004. "The Anticipated and Concurring Effects of the EMU," CEIS Research Paper 55, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
  21. Hans-Werner Sinn, 1996. "International Implications of German Unification," NBER Working Papers 5839, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  22. Jaakko Kiander & Pasi Holm & Pekka Tossavainen, 1999. "Social Security Funds, Payroll Tax Adjustment and Real Exchange Rate: The Finnish Model," Discussion Papers 198, Government Institute for Economic Research Finland (VATT). [Downloadable!]
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