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Labour Market Institutions and Macroeconomic Shocks Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Chen, Yu-Fu
Snower, Dennis J.
Zoega, Gylfi
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Macroeconomic shocks and labour-market institutions jointly determine employment growth and economic performance. The effect of shocks depends on the nature of these institutions and the effect of institutional change depends on the macroeconomic environment. It follows that a given set of institutions may be appropriate in one epoch and not in another. We derive a dynamic model of labour demand in which the effect of firing costs on labour demand depends on the macroeconomic environment: When the level of macroeconomic activity is expected to drop and/or the trend rate of productivity growth is small, a rise in firing costs affects mainly (and adversely) the hiring decision and not the layoff decision. This makes firing costs harmful to employment when it may appear most appropriate. In contrast, firing costs can raise employment during periods of high growth and poistive shocks. Our hypothesis is supported by empirical results using OECD data.
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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number
3480.
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Date of creation: Aug 2002Date of revision:
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Keywords: firing costs hiring and firing real options stochastic demand Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
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