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A New Look at the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle using an Integrated Panel

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Author Info
Anindya Banerjee
Paolo Zanghieri

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Abstract

We use a panel of 14 European countries to take a fresh look at the so-called Feldstein-Horioka puzzle on the high correlations between savings and investment observed within countries. A large literature has emerged to investigate this issue, using both individual country-by-country data and panels constructed by pooling data from several countries although the answers remain by and large elusive. Since we argue that the savings and investment series in our panel are integrated of order one, we use the recently developed theory of panel unit roots and cointegration to look at the relationship between savings and investment. Our particular contributions are (a) to consider the puzzle comprehensively, using both time series and panel methods for integrated series; (b) to consider subsets of countries in the panel; and (c) to apply tests of the hypothesis to various disaggregates and transformations of the core datasets, with our particular interest centering on the implications for fiscal policy. We also interpret the findings of our tests in the light of the likely presence of cross-country cointegration (which is known to affect the properties of the tests for unit roots and cointegration.

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Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 2003-22.

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Date of creation: Dec 2003
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:2003-22

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Related research
Keywords: Saving; investment; capital mobility; panel cointegration;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Combes, Pierre-Philippe & Lafourcade, Miren & Mayer, Thierry, 2003. "Can Business and Social Networks Explain the Border Effect Puzzle?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3750, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Hedi Bchir & Lionel Fontagne & Paolo Zanghieri, 2003. "The Impact of EU Enlargement on Member States: a CGE Approach," Working Papers 2003-10, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  3. Mohamed Hedi Bchir & Mathilde Maurel, 2002. "Impacts economiques et sociaux de l'elargissement pour l'Union europeenne et la France," Working Papers 2002-03, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  4. M. Beine & A. Bénassy-Quéré & E. Dauchy & R. MacDonald, 2002. "The Impact of Central Bank Intervention on Exchange-Rate Forecast Heterogeneity," THEMA Working Papers 2002-22, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Isabelle Bensidoun & Guillaume Gaulier & Deniz Unal-Kesenci, 2001. "The Nature of Specialization Matters for Growth: an Empirical Investigation," Working Papers 2001-13, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  6. Agnes Chevallier & Deniz Unal-Kesenci, 2001. "La productivite des industries mediterraneennes," Working Papers 2001-16, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  7. Joseph Francois & Hans van Meijl & Frank van Tongeren, 2003. "Economic Implications of Trade Liberalization Under the Doha Round," Working Papers 2003-20, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. João Sousa Andrade, 2006. "Mobilidade do Capital e Sustentabilidade Externa: uma aplicação da tese de F-H a Portugal (1910-2004)," GEMF Working Papers 2006-04, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra. [Downloadable!]
  2. Luciano Gutierrez, 2005. "Tests for cointegration in panels with regime shifts," Econometrics 0505007, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jérôme Héricourt & Mathilde Maurel, 2005. "A new look at the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle : an "European-Regional" perspective," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques j05070, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Gianpaolo Rossini & Paolo Zanghieri, 2008. "What Drives Price Differentials of Consumables in Europe? Size? Affluence? Or Both?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 121-134, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bebczuk, Ricardo & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 2006. "Revisiting the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle: An Institutional Sector View," MPRA Paper 1802, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  6. Herwartz, Helmut & Xu, Fang, 2006. "Reviewing the sustainability/stationarity of current account imbalances with tests for bounded integration," Economics Working Papers 2006,07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. João Sousa Andrade, 2007. "L’Intégration Européenne et la Soutenabilité Externe de l’Union Européenne: une application de la thèse de Feldstein-Horioka," GEMF Working Papers 2007-05, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra. [Downloadable!]
  8. Chan, Tze-Haw & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, 2003. "Measuring Capital Mobility in the Asia Pacific Rim," MPRA Paper 2208, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2004. [Downloadable!]
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