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Economic Implications of Trade Liberalization Under the Doha Round

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  • Francois, J.
  • van Meijl, H.
  • van Tongeren, F.

Abstract

We explore the impact of multilateral liberalization, with emphasis on the EU and developing countries. We first develop a realistic "baseline" that takes into account events such as the entry of China into the WTO and the enlargement of the EU, allowing us to focus on those effects that are specifically attributable to further trade liberalization in the Doha Round. We then employ a global applied general equilibrium model, featuring capital accumulation and imperfect competition. Our Doha scenarios include agriculture, manufactures, and services liberalization, and trade facilitation. With agglomeration, OECD agricultural liberalization is not uniformly positive for LDCs.

Suggested Citation

  • Francois, J. & van Meijl, H. & van Tongeren, F., 2003. "Economic Implications of Trade Liberalization Under the Doha Round," Conference papers 331101, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:331101
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    1. W. Jill Harrison & J. Mark Horridge & K.R. Pearson, 2000. "Decomposing Simulation Results with Respect to Exogenous Shocks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 15(3), pages 227-249, June.
    2. van Meijl, Hans & van Tongeren, Frank, 2001. "Multilateral Trade Liberalization and Developing Countries: A North-South Perspective on Agriculture and Processing Sectors," Conference papers 330951, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Mikiko Kainuma & Yuzuru Matsuoka & Tsuneyuki Morita, 1999. "Analysis of Post-Kyoto Scenarios: The Asian-Pacific Integrated Model," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 207-220.
    4. Hans van Meijl & Frank van Tongeren, 2002. "The Agenda 2000 CAP reform, world prices and GATT--WTO export constraints," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 29(4), pages 445-470, December.
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    1. Antoine Bouët & Simon Mevel & David Orden, 2007. "More or Less Ambition in the Doha Round: Winners and Losers from Trade Liberalisation with a Development Perspective," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(8), pages 1253-1280, August.
    2. Mohamed Hedi Bchir & Lionel Fontagné & Sébastien Jean, 2005. "From Bound Duties to Actual Protection: Industrial Liberalisation in the Doha Round," Working Papers 2005-12, CEPII research center.
    3. Sébastien Jean & David Laborde, 2004. "The Impact of Multilateral Liberalisation on European Regions: a CGE Assessment," Working Papers 2004-20, CEPII research center.
    4. Brockmeier, Martina & Salamon, Petra, 2004. "Handels- und Budgeteffekte der WTO-Agrarverhandlungen in der Doha-Runde: Der revidierte Harbinson-Vorschlag," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 53(06), pages 1-19.
    5. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/8132 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Michael Plummer & Frank Harrigan & Fan Zhai & Patrick Messerlin, 2006. "The Doha Development Agenda: Asian Challenges and Prospects after the Ministerial Meeting in Hong Kong, China," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/8132, Sciences Po.
    7. Rolf Langhammer, 2005. "China and the G-21: A New North–South Divide in the WTO after Cancún?," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 339-358.
    8. Sanyal, Prabuddha, 2004. "Determinants of Outward FDI: Role of Technological Intensity, Spillovers and Intangible Assets," Conference papers 331301, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Michael Plummer & Frank Harrigan & Fan Zhai & Patrick Messerlin, 2006. "The Doha Development Agenda: Asian Challenges and Prospects after the Ministerial Meeting in Hong Kong, China," SciencePo Working papers hal-03462128, HAL.
    10. Hermassi Hela & Aloui Amel, 2016. "An Empirical Evaluation of the Sectoral Impact of International Trade on the Restructuring of the Production System: A Case Study of Tunisia," International Journal of Management Sciences, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 7(6), pages 312-331.
    11. Lionel Fontagné, 2003. "Market Access and Domestic Support Measures," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 4(03), pages 3-10, October.
    12. Bureau, Jean-Christophe & Jean, Sebastien & Matthews, Alan, 2005. "Agricultural Trade Liberalization: Assessing the Consequences for Developing Countries," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24628, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Anindya Banerjee & Paolo Zanghieri, 2003. "A New Look at the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle using an Integrated Panel," Working Papers 2003-22, CEPII research center.
    14. Isermeyer, F., 2004. "Internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der europäischen Agrarwirtschaft," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 39.
    15. Lionel Fontagné, 2003. "Market Access and Domestic Support Measures," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 4(3), pages 3-10, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation

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