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Trade liberalisation under the Doha Development Agenda Options and consequences for Africa

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Author Info
Tom Achterbosch (LEI)
Hakim Ben Hammouda (UNECA)
Patrick Osakwe (UNECA)
Frank van Tongeren (LEI)

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Abstract

This study provides a quantitative estimate of the potential economic consequences of multilateral trade reform under the WTO for Africa using a framework that explicitly incorporates issues of concern to the region, such as preference erosion, loss of tariff revenue, and trade facilitation. It also examines the impact of OECD agricultural support programmes on economic welfare and specialisation in Africa. In the static version of the GTAP model, the study finds that full liberalisation of trade would increase global welfare (income) by 0.3 per cent, but would add 0.7 per cent annually to income in the African region. Sub-Saharan Africa and, to a lesser extent, Southern Africa, are vulnerable to partial trade reforms as they incur losses from partial reform while all other regions derive positive gains from a liberalisation of minor scope.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Trade with number 0407013.

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Length: 90 pages
Date of creation: 28 Jul 2004
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0407013

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 90. Joint study of United Nations Economic Commission for Africa and the Agricultural Economcis Research Institute (LEI) The Netherlands. General equilibium model of trade and production. Simulates possible effects of WTO-Doha agreement on African countries. Takes into acount existing trade preferces (GSP, ACP ect.) and existing binding overhang.
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: international trade; general equilibrium WTO; Doha round; Africa; agricultural policy;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F1 - International Economics - - Trade
F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Smith, M. A. M., 1976. "Trade, growth and consumption in alternative models of capital accumulation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 371-384, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. John C. Beghin & Ataman Aksoy, 2003. "Agricultural Trade and the Doha Round: Lessons from Commodity Studies," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 03-bp42, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Hoekman, Bernard & Ng, Francis & Olarreaga, Marcelo, 2001. "Eliminating excessive tariffs on exports of least developed countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2604, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Antoine Bouet & Lionel Fontagne & Mondher Mimouni & Xavier Pichot, 2001. "Market Access Maps: A Bilateral and Disaggregated Measure of Market Access," Working Papers 2001-18, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  5. Francois, Joseph & Martin, Will, 2003. "Formula Approaches for Market Access Negotiations," CEPR Discussion Papers 3720, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Achterbosch, T.J. & de Bruin, S. & van Tongeren, F.W., 2003. "Trade Preferences For Developing Countries," Report Series 29102, Agricultural Economics Research Institute. [Downloadable!]
  7. W. Jill Harrison & J. Mark Horridge & K.R. Pearson, 2000. "Decomposing Simulation Results with Respect to Exogenous Shocks," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 227-249, June. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Hans van Meijl & Frank van Tongeren, 2002. "The Agenda 2000 CAP reform, world prices and GATT--WTO export constraints," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press for the Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 29(4), pages 445-470, December.
  9. Ianchovichina, Elena & Mattoo, Aaditya & Olarreaga, Marcelo, 2001. "Unrestricted Market Access for Sub-Saharan Africa: How Much is it Worth and Who Pays?," CEPR Discussion Papers 2820, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. William Cline, 2002. "An Index of Industrial Country Trade Policy Toward Developing Countries," Working Papers 14, Center for Global Development. [Downloadable!]
  11. Scott McDonald & Terrie Walmsley, 2004. "Preferential Trade Agreements and the Optimal Liberalisation of Agricultural Trade," Working Papers 2004010, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2004. [Downloadable!]
  12. Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano & Diego Puga, 1998. "Agglomeration in the Global Economy: A Survey of the 'New Economic Geography'," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 21(6), pages 707-731, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Francois, Joseph & van Meijl, Hans & van Tongeren, Frank, 2003. "Trade Liberalization and Developing Countries Under the Doha Round," CEPR Discussion Papers 4032, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Achterbosch, T.J. & ben Hammouda, H. & Osakwe, P.N. & van Tongeren, F.W., 2004. "Trade Liberalisation Under The Doha Development Agenda; Options And Consequences For Africa," Report Series 29104, Agricultural Economics Research Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Will Martin, 2003. "Developing Countries' Changing Participation in World Trade," World Bank Research Observer, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 187-203.
  16. Francois, Joseph & Bradley McDonald, 1996. "Liberalization and Capital Accumulation in the GTAP Model," GTAP Technical Papers 310, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Ben Hammouda, Hakim & Osakwe, Patrick N., 2006. "Global Trade Models and Economic Policy Analyses: Relevance, Risks and Repercussions for Africa," MPRA Paper 1851, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Tom Achterbosch & Hakim Ben Hammouda & Patrick Osakwe & Frank van Tongeren, 2004. "Trade liberalisation under the Doha Development Agenda Options and consequences for Africa," International Trade 0407013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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