We analyze the economic impact of a simultaneous aging shock in two countries. The countries are identical in all respects except the financing scheme of their public pension system. While one relies on capitalization, the other one relies on a pay-as-you-go scheme. We show that the two countries react very differently to the demographic shock and its financial implications. Further, we find that the presence or the absence of capital mobility considerably affects the results, both in terms of the size of the burden as in terms of international capital allocation.
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Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number
2002-06.
Find related papers by JEL classification: E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Pension Funds; Other Private Financial Institutions H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
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