This paper decomposes the growth in land occupied by residences in the United States to give therelative contributions of changing demographics versus increases in the land area used by individualhouseholds. Between 1976 and 1992 the amount of residential land in the United States grew 47.5%while population only grew 17.8%. At first glance, this suggests an important role for per-householdincreases.However, the calculations in this paper show that only 24.3% of the growth in residential landarea can be attributed to State level changes in land per household. 37.5% is due to overall populationgrowth, 5.9% to the shift of population towards States with larger houses, 22.7% to an increase in thenumber of households over this period, and the remaining 9.5% to interactions between these changes.There are large differences across states and metropolitan areas in the relative importance of thesecomponents.
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Edward L. Glaeser & Matthew E. Kahn, 2003.
"Sprawl and Urban Growth,"
NBER Working Papers
9733, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
Glaeser, Edward L. & Kahn, Matthew E., 2004.
"Sprawl and urban growth,"
Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics,
in: J. V. Henderson & J. F. Thisse (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 56, pages 2481-2527
Elsevier.
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