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Demanda De Importaciones Para El Caso Colombiano: 1980 - 2004

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  • Juan Nicolás Hernández

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Abstract

El presente documento explora la existencia de una relación de largo plazo entre la demanda de importaciones totales, de bienes de consumo, de bienes intermedios y de bienes de capital con el ingreso interno y la tasa de cambio real a través de un modelo multivariado VEC. Adicionalmente pretende hallar las elasticidades ingreso y precio en cada uno de los casos considerando hechos tan relevantes durante el periodo de estudio como el proceso de apertura. En la mayoría de los casos fue posible establecer dicha relación, aunque la bondad del pronóstico difiere para cada una de las especificaciones encontradas. La interpretación de las elasticidades conforme indica la literatura proviene de la función de impulso respuesta o de la denominada matriz C. Al aplicar en el contexto de la balanza de pagos las elasticidades estimadas se estableció que aquellas sugeridas por la matriz C mostraban un mejor ajuste.

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Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number 356.

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Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:356

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Keywords: Importaciones; elasticidad; cointegración;

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  1. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S, 1993. "Finite-Sample Sizes of Johansen's Likelihood Ration Tests for Conintegration," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 55(3), pages 313-28, August.
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Cited by:
  1. Brieuc Monfort, 2008. "Chile: Trade Performance,Trade Liberalization, and Competitiveness," IMF Working Papers 08/128, International Monetary Fund.

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