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Endogenous Sources Of Volatility In Housing Markets: The Joint Buyer–Seller Problem

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  • Elliot Anenberg
  • Patrick Bayer

Abstract

This article presents new empirical evidence that internal movement—selling one home and buying another—by existing homeowners within a metropolitan housing market is especially volatile and a substantial driver of fluctuations in transaction volume over the housing market cycle. We develop a search model that shows that the strong procyclicality of internal movement is driven by the cost of simultaneously holding two homes, which varies endogenously over the cycle. The estimated model shows that frictions related to this joint buyer–seller problem substantially amplify cyclical price volatility in housing markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Elliot Anenberg & Patrick Bayer, 2020. "Endogenous Sources Of Volatility In Housing Markets: The Joint Buyer–Seller Problem," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1195-1228, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:61:y:2020:i:3:p:1195-1228
    DOI: 10.1111/iere.12454
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    Cited by:

    1. Ngai, Liwa Rachel & Sheedy, Kevin, 2020. "The Ins and Outs of Selling Houses: Understanding Housing Market Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 14331, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Antonia Díaz & Belén Jerez & Juan Pablo Rincón-Zapatero, 2023. "Housing Prices and Credit Constraints in Competitive Search," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 134(657), pages 220-270.
    3. DeFusco, Anthony A. & Nathanson, Charles G. & Zwick, Eric, 2022. "Speculative dynamics of prices and volume," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 205-229.
    4. Liu, Haoyang & Song, Yang & Zhang, Xiaohan, 2022. "Moving to better opportunities? Housing market responses to the top 4% policy," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Allen Head & Huw Lloyd‐Ellis & Derek Stacey, 2023. "Heterogeneity, Frictional Assignment, And Home‐Ownership," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1265-1308, August.
    6. Eric Smith & Zoe Xie & Lei Fang, 2022. "The Short and the Long of It: Stock-Flow Matching in the US Housing Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 10035, CESifo.
    7. Elliot Anenberg & Daniel R. Ringo, 2022. "Volatility in Home Sales and Prices: Supply or Demand?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-041, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Elliot Anenberg & Daniel Ringo, 2022. "The Propagation of Demand Shocks through Housing Markets," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 481-507, July.
    9. Antonio Gargano & Marco Giacoletti & Elvis Jarnecic, 2023. "Local Experiences, Search, and Spillovers in the Housing Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(2), pages 1015-1053, April.
    10. Lawrence Kryzanowski & Yanting Wu & Tingyu Zhou, 2023. "Conflicts of interest and agent heterogeneity in buyer brokerage," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(1), pages 130-169, January.

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