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Are Australia's tourism markets converging?

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan

Abstract

In this paper we make an important contribution towards understanding Australia's tourism industry by examining whether or not Australia's tourism markets are converging. We define convergence as the reduction in tourist arrivals' differential, which is calculated as the difference between total visitor arrivals to a country and visitor arrivals from a particular tourist source market. We analyze Australia's thirteen major tourist source markets using monthly data over the period January 1991 to September 2003. To test for convergence, we use the univariate and panel Lagrange multiplier (LM) tests. Our main finding is that when we allow for two structural breaks in the data series, both univariate and panel LM tests provide strong evidence for convergence of Australia's tourism markets. This implies that policies aimed at attracting visitor arrivals from any one of Australia's thirteen tourist source markets will boost the volume of tourists coming into the country.

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2006. "Are Australia's tourism markets converging?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1153-1162.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1153-1162
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391377
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    3. Lau, Evan & Oh, Swee-Ling & Hu, Sing-Sing, 2008. "Tourist Arrivals And Economic Growth In Sarawak," MPRA Paper 9888, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Berhan ÇOBAN & Esin FİRUZAN, 2019. "Convergence and Cointegration Analysis under Structural Breaks: Application of Turkey Tourism Markets," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(39).
    5. Burcu Ozcan, 2014. "Do Tourism Markets Of Turkey Converge?," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 0200630, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    6. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2011. "Are shocks to tourism transitory at business cycle horizons?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(16), pages 2071-2077.
    7. Abbott, Andrew & De Vita, Glauco & Altinay, Levent, 2012. "Revisiting the convergence hypothesis for tourism markets: Evidence from Turkey using the pairwise approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 537-544.
    8. Pei-Chien Lin & Ho-Chuan Huang, 2012. "Convergence in income inequality? evidence from panel unit root tests with structural breaks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 153-174, August.
    9. Fatih Kaplan & Erdoğan Öztürk & Şule Güngör, 2017. "Is The Club Convergence Hypothesis Valid For Turkey Tourism Market?," European Journal of Business and Economics, Central Bohemia University, vol. 12(2), pages 11181:12-11, January.
    10. Sakiru Adebola Solarin, 2018. "Convergence hypothesis in tourism markets and activities in Taiwan," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(8), pages 1037-1044, December.
    11. Svetlana Gurieva & Irina Kuznetsova & Ekaterina Yumkina & Sergey Manichev & Elena Sidorenko, 2017. "Emotional Intelligence and Behavior Styles of Russian Middle Managers in Business Communication," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 679-693.
    12. Abdul-Rahim, A.S. & Mohd-Shahwahid, H.O., 2012. "Sustainable forest management policy and the analysis of convergence effects on timber production," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 60-64.
    13. Stavros A Kourtzidis & Panayiotis Tzeremes & Nickolaos G Tzeremes & Tomáš Heryán, 2018. "Integration of tourism markets in Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(7), pages 901-907, November.
    14. Sakiru Adebola Solarin, 2014. "Revisiting the Convergence Hypothesis of Tourism Markets: Evidence from South Africa," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 8(1), pages 77-92, February.
    15. García-Cintado, Alejandro & Romero-Ávila, Diego & Usabiaga, Carlos, 2015. "Can the hysteresis hypothesis in Spanish regional unemployment be beaten? New evidence from unit root tests with breaks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 244-252.
    16. Lin, Zhibin & You, Kefei & Lau, Chi Keung & Demir, Ender, 2019. "Segmenting global tourism markets: A panel club convergence approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 165-185.
    17. Ghialy Yap, 2010. "Australian domestic tourism demand analysis using panel data static regression," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 2(2), pages 113-127, April.
    18. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2016. "Whether tourist arrivals in India convergent?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 252-255.
    19. Mérida, Adrián L. & Carmona, Mónica & Congregado, Emilio & Golpe, Antonio A., 2016. "Exploring the regional distribution of tourism and the extent to which there is convergence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 225-233.

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