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Revisiting the convergence hypothesis for tourism markets: Evidence from Turkey using the pairwise approach

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  • Abbott, Andrew
  • De Vita, Glauco
  • Altinay, Levent

Abstract

This paper empirically revisits the tourism markets convergence hypothesis (Narayan, 2006) for the case of Turkey by employing the newly developed pairwise approach to the analysis of stochastic convergence (Pesaran, 2007; Pesaran, Smith, Yamagata, & Hvozdyk, 2009). This new approach allows for unit root tests to be conducted on all possible pairs of tourist arrival differentials across Turkey’s 20 major tourist source markets, thus avoiding the need to choose a base source market or total tourist arrivals figure as the benchmark. Using monthly data over the period January 1996 to December 2009, the main finding is that despite considerable ‘co-movement’ of international tourist arrivals in Turkey, there is no evidence of long-run ‘convergence’ among Turkey’s major tourism markets. Cluster-based club convergence analyses alongside bivariate pairwise estimations confirm the lack of convergence and highlight specific tourist source markets with considerable untapped potential. These findings have profound policy implications for Turkey’s inbound tourism planning and promotion.

Suggested Citation

  • Abbott, Andrew & De Vita, Glauco & Altinay, Levent, 2012. "Revisiting the convergence hypothesis for tourism markets: Evidence from Turkey using the pairwise approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 537-544.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:33:y:2012:i:3:p:537-544
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2011.06.003
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    4. Berhan ÇOBAN & Esin FİRUZAN, 2019. "Convergence and Cointegration Analysis under Structural Breaks: Application of Turkey Tourism Markets," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(39).
    5. Svetlana Gurieva & Irina Kuznetsova & Ekaterina Yumkina & Sergey Manichev & Elena Sidorenko, 2017. "Emotional Intelligence and Behavior Styles of Russian Middle Managers in Business Communication," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 679-693.
    6. M. Karagoz, 2016. "Comparative performances of EU-15 and Turkey: a PIN analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 19-22, January.
    7. Beylunioğlu, Fuat C. & Yazgan, M. Ege & Stengos, Thanasis, 2020. "Detecting Convergence Clubs," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(3), pages 629-669, April.
    8. Rui Tang, 2021. "The impact of integration policies on tourism industry convergence in the Yangtze River Delta: theoretical mechanism and empirical test," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 141-167, August.
    9. Burcu Ozcan, 2014. "Do Tourism Markets Of Turkey Converge?," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 0200630, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    10. De Vita, Glauco, 2014. "The long-run impact of exchange rate regimes on international tourism flows," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 226-233.
    11. Fatih Kaplan & Erdo?an ?zt¨¹rk & ?ule G¨¹ng?r, 2017. "Is the Club Convergence Hypothesis Validy for Turkey Tourism Market," Research in Applied Economics, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(3), pages 24-30, September.
    12. Stavros A Kourtzidis & Panayiotis Tzeremes & Nickolaos G Tzeremes & Tomáš Heryán, 2018. "Integration of tourism markets in Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(7), pages 901-907, November.
    13. Sakiru Adebola Solarin, 2014. "Revisiting the Convergence Hypothesis of Tourism Markets: Evidence from South Africa," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 8(1), pages 77-92, February.
    14. Beylunioglu Fuat C. & Stengos Thanasis & Yazgan M. Ege, 2017. "Detecting capital market convergence clubs," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 1-14, June.
    15. Lin, Zhibin & You, Kefei & Lau, Chi Keung & Demir, Ender, 2019. "Segmenting global tourism markets: A panel club convergence approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 165-185.
    16. Mérida, Adrián L. & Carmona, Mónica & Congregado, Emilio & Golpe, Antonio A., 2016. "Exploring the regional distribution of tourism and the extent to which there is convergence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 225-233.

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