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A Pair-wise Analysis of Intra-city Price Convergence Within the Paris Housing Market

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  • Mark J. Holmes

    (Waikato University)

  • Jesús Otero

    (Universidad del Rosario)

  • Theodore Panagiotidis

    (University of Macedonia)

Abstract

We examine long-run house price convergence across the twenty Paris districts using a quarterly dataset that spans from 1991 to 2014. Our approach is based on two stages. In the first stage, we apply methods of unit root testing. Our econometric modelling exercise adopts a pair wise approach that is built on a probabilistic test for convergence based on all house price differentials across the Paris districts. We find that more than 50 % of the intra-city house price differentials that can be computed are stationary. In the second stage of our investigation, we analyse the drivers of convergence. The probability of stationarity is negatively affected by unemployment differentials across districts, demographics differentials and supply-side characteristics. Our findings further reveal that the half-life of a shock to long-run price equilibrium is affected positively by unemployment, distance and housing supply. Our analysis suggests that smaller distances between Parisian districts are associated with a faster speed of adjustment back towards long-run equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark J. Holmes & Jesús Otero & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2017. "A Pair-wise Analysis of Intra-city Price Convergence Within the Paris Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 1-16, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:54:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11146-015-9542-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-015-9542-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Mark J Holmes & Jesús Otero & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2018. "Climbing the property ladder: An analysis of market integration in London property prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(12), pages 2660-2681, September.
    2. Sanghyun Kim & Juhyung Kim & Jaejun Kim, 2016. "Structural Changes in the Korean Housing Market before and after Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-20, April.
    3. Kyriazakou, Eleni & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2017. "Causality analysis of the Canadian city house price indices: A cross-sample validation approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-52.
    4. Philipp Otto & Osman Dou{g}an & Suleyman Tac{s}p{i}nar, 2022. "Dynamic Spatiotemporal ARCH Models," Papers 2202.13856, arXiv.org.
    5. Miles, William, 2020. "House price convergence in the euro zone: A pairwise approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    6. Gabrieli, Tommaso & Panagiotidis, Theodore & Xu, Yishuang, 2019. "Pair-wise convergence of intra-city house prices in Beijing," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    7. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    8. Eleni Kyriazakou & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2018. "A nonlinear pairwise approach for the convergence of UK regional house prices," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 467-481, April.
    9. Sidong Zhao & Kaixu Zhao & Ping Zhang, 2021. "Spatial Inequality in China’s Housing Market and the Driving Mechanism," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-33, August.
    10. Miles, William, 2020. "Regional convergence-and divergence-in the US," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 131-139.
    11. Omar H. M. N. Bashar, 2021. "An Intra-City Analysis of House Price Convergence and Spatial Dependence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 525-546, November.
    12. Mateusz Tomal, 2022. "Testing for overall and cluster convergence of housing rents using robust methodology: evidence from Polish provincial capitals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 2023-2055, April.
    13. Yuanyuan Cai & Yingming Zhu & Marco Helbich, 2022. "Club convergence of regional housing prices in China: evidence from 70 major Cities," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(1), pages 33-55, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pair-wise; House prices; Cointegration; Speed of adjustment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis
    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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