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The adjustments of stock prices to information about inflation: evidence from MENA countries

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  • Samer Al-Rjoub

Abstract

This study extends the empirical evidence by analysing the reaction of monthly stock returns to the unexpected portion of CPI inflation rate and by capturing the asymmetric shocks to volatility of unexpected inflation in five MENA countries. Both Threshold GARCH and Exponential GARCH are used to catch the news affect that unexpected inflation may have on stock returns. Results document a negative and strongly significant relationship between unexpected inflation and stock returns in MENA countries. Results also indicate that the stock markets of the listed MENA countries do not feel the high up and down movements in the markets and as such the volatilities. The asymmetric news effect is absent.

Suggested Citation

  • Samer Al-Rjoub, 2005. "The adjustments of stock prices to information about inflation: evidence from MENA countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(14), pages 871-879.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:871-879
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365806
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Chani, Muhammad Irfan & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Farooq, Muhammad & Khan, Kamran, 2014. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 60791, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Ahmed Imran Hunjra & Muhammad Irfan Chani & Muhammad Shahzad & Muhammad Farooq & Kamran Khan, 2014. "The macroeconomic variables are crucial for any change in economy for a country," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 2(1), pages 13-21, January.

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