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Asymmetric Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in India

Author

Listed:
  • S. M. Woahid Murad

    (Noakhali Science and Technology University)

  • Ruhul Salim

    (Curtin University)

  • Md. Golam Kibria

    (Noakhali Science and Technology University)

Abstract

This study aims to extend the conventional money demand function by including the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in the Indian money demand function. The rest of the determinants are income, interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate. Both symmetric and asymmetric effects of uncertainty are estimated covering the period 2003M1–2018M4. The linear ARDL bounds testing approach shows that uncertainty has a significant effect on narrow money in the short run. At the same time, the asymmetric nonlinear framework supports the short-run asymmetric effect of uncertainty on both narrow and broad money. More precisely, the policy uncertainty is a short-run phenomenon for the Indian money demand function. However, both linear and nonlinear models yield a stable demand for money in India regardless of narrow money or broad money. Hence, the monetary policy can be initiated to tune the Indian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • S. M. Woahid Murad & Ruhul Salim & Md. Golam Kibria, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(3), pages 451-470, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jqecon:v:19:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s40953-021-00235-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s40953-021-00235-1
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    4. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Uncertainty on Money Demand Function in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear ARDL and Cumulative Fourier Causality Approach," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(2), pages 1-13, September.
    5. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2022. "The role of domestic and foreign economic uncertainties in determining the foreign exchange rates: an extended monetary approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 666-677, October.
    6. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Uncertainty on Money Demand Function in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear ARDL and Cumulative Fourier Causality Approach," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(2), pages 187-199, September.
    7. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "The Asymmetric Impact of Economic Policy and Oil Price Uncertainty on Inflation: Evidence from Developed and Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series 10276, CESifo.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money demand; Policy uncertainty; Nonlinear ARDL; ARDL bounds test; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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