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Empirical Assessment of Money Demand Stability Under India’s Open Economy: Non-linear ARDL Approach

Author

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  • Masudul Hasan Adil

    (University of Mumbai)

  • Salman Haider

    (University of Hyderabad)

  • Neeraj R. Hatekar

    (University of Mumbai)

Abstract

This study explores stability issues of money demand in the wake of a new economic policy regime of India’s open economy, particularly since the 1990s. The study covers dataset on quarterly frequency from 1996: Q2 to 2016: Q3. In this paper, it is shown that the failure to find a significant relationship between exchange rate and the demand for money—more specifically stable money demand, could be due to the supposition of symmetric adjustment mechanism among variables. Importantly, the asymmetry is introduced in money demand function through partial sum decomposition in the autoregressive distributed lag model. It is found that exchange rate appreciation or depreciation affects the money demand in an asymmetric fashion. Ultimately, the study finds stable money demand in case of India. Further, the exchange rate affects money demand through currency substitution effect; provided the dataset, variables and econometric techniques under study.

Suggested Citation

  • Masudul Hasan Adil & Salman Haider & Neeraj R. Hatekar, 2020. "Empirical Assessment of Money Demand Stability Under India’s Open Economy: Non-linear ARDL Approach," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(4), pages 891-909, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jqecon:v:18:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s40953-020-00203-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s40953-020-00203-1
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    2. Zhan, Minghua & Wang, Lijun & Zhan, Shuwei & Lu, Yao, 2023. "Does digital finance change the stability of money demand function? Evidence from China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand for money; New economic policy regime; India; NARDL; Exchange rate; Partial sum concept;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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