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Financial Development and Money Demand Function: Cointegration, Causality and Variance Decomposition Analysis for Pakistan

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  • Ahad, Muhammad

Abstract

This study has investigated money demand function incorporating financial development, industrial production, income and exchange rate over the period of 1972-2012 for Pakistan. The newly introduced cointegration approach (Bayer-Hanck combined cointegration) and Johansen cointegration approach have been used to test cointegration among variables. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) model has applied to explain the direction of causality in the long run and short run. The Unit root problem has been tested by ADF and PP unit root tests. The results reveal that long run relationship exists between money demand, financial development, income, industrial production and exchange rate. Financial development is the main factor to determine the money demand function in both long and short run. The results indicate that feedback effect is found between financial development and money demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahad, Muhammad, 2015. "Financial Development and Money Demand Function: Cointegration, Causality and Variance Decomposition Analysis for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 70033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:70033
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tarak Nath Sahu & Krishna Dayal Pandey, 2020. "Money Supply and Equity Price Movements During the Liberalized Period in India," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(1), pages 108-123, February.
    3. Ufuk CAN & Zeynep Gizem CAN & Süleyman DEĞİRMEN, 2019. "Paranın Dolaşım Hızının ve Para Talebi Fonksiyonunun Ekonometrik Analizi: Türkiye Örneği," Istanbul Business Research, Istanbul University Business School, vol. 48(2), pages 218-247, November.
    4. Masudul Hasan Adil & Rafiq Hussain & Adelajda Matuka, 2022. "Interest rate sensitivity of demand for money and effectiveness of monetary policy: fresh evidence from combined cointegration test and ARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-24, July.
    5. Michael Asiedu & Patrick Bimpong & Thomas Hezkeal Nan Khela & Benedict Arthur, 2021. "Long-Run Money Demand Function: Search for Stability in Twenty (20) Non-EMU Member Countries," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 58-87, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Development; Money demand; Cointegration; Causality; Pakistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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