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Stability of the money demand function in Asian developing countries

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Author Info
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
Hafez Rehman

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Abstract

Previous studies that estimated the money demand function in Asian developing countries either employed traditional estimation techniques or recently popularized cointegration technique. While the first group suffers from 'spurious regression’ problems, the second group interpreted their finding of cointegration as a sign of stability of estimated parameters. This study, after incorporating the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests into cointegration analysis, shows that in some Asian countries even though real M1 or M2 monetary aggregates are cointegrated with their determinants, the estimated parameters are unstable.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 37 (2005)
Issue (Month): 7 (April)
Pages: 773-792
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:773-792

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Karfakis, Costas I & Parikh, Ashok, 1993. "A Cointegration Approach to Monetary Targeting in Australia," Australian Economic Papers, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(60), pages 53-72, June.
  2. Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2001. "Financial Factors And The Empirical Behavior Of Money Demand: A Case Study Of Malaysia," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 55-72, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Mansor H. Ibrahim, 1998. "An Econometric Analysis of Money Demand and Its Stability in the Malaysian Economy," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 33(1), pages 53-66, January.
  4. Johansen, Soren, 1992. "Testing weak exogeneity and the order of cointegration in UK money demand data," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 313-334, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Hafer, R W & Jansen, Dennis W, 1991. "The Demand for Money in the United States: Evidence from Cointegration Tests," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 155-68, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Malixi, Margaret, 1991. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of the Demand for Money in Developing Countries," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 23(8), pages 1377-83, August.
  7. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen, 1996. "The black market exchange rate and demand for money in Iran," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 171-176. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Bohl, Martin T., 2000. "German monetary unification and the stability of the German M3 money demand function," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 203-208, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326. [Downloadable!]
  10. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hyun-Jae Rhee, 1994. "Long-Run Elasticities Of The Demand For Money In Korea: Evidence From Cointegration Analysis," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 83-93, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Shabsigh, Ghiath, 1996. "The demand for money in Japan: Evidence from cointegration analysis," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Pourheydarian, Mohammad, 1990. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of Demand for Money and Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policies," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 22(7), pages 917-25, July.
  13. Ahmad, Mushtaq & Khan, Ashfaque H., 1990. "A reexamination of the stability of the demand for money in pakistan," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 307-321. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Mohesen Bahmani-Oskooee & Sungwon Shin, 2002. "Stability Of The Demand For Money In Korea," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 85-95, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Hoffman, Dennis L & Rasche, Robert H, 1991. "Long-Run Income and Interest Elasticities of Money Demand in the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 73(4), pages 665-74, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Kremers, Jeroen J M & Ericsson, Neil R & Dolado, Juan J, 1992. "The Power of Cointegration Tests," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 325-48, August.
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  17. Henrik Hansen & Søren Johansen, 1992. "Recursive Estimation in Cointegrated VAR-Models," Discussion Papers 92-13, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  18. von Hagen, Jürgen, 1992. "Monetary Union, Money Demand and Money Supply: A Review of the German Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 719, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Hoffman, Dennis L. & Rasche, Robert H. & Tieslau, Margie A., 1995. "The stability of long-run money demand in five industrial countries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 317-339, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Augustine C. Arize & John B. Spalding & Bedford N. Umezulike, 1991. "Impact of Foreign Monetary Developments on Demand for Money: Regression Estimates and Forecast Results," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 18(2), pages 39-48, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Muscatelli, Vito Antonio & Papi, Luca, 1990. "Cointegration, Financial Innovation and Modelling the Demand for Money in Italy," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 242-59, September.
  22. Chowdhury, Abdur R, 1997. "The Financial Structure and the Demand for Money in Thailand," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 401-09, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  23. McNown, Robert & Wallace, Myles S., 1992. "Cointegration tests of a long-run relation between money demand and the effective exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 107-114, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  24. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Techaratanachai, Ampa, 2001. "Currency substitution in Thailand," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 141-145, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  25. Arango, Sebastian & Ishaq Nadiri, M., 1981. "Demand for money in open economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 69-83. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  26. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Martin, Miquel-Angel Galindo & Niroomand, Farhang, 1998. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of the Demand for Money in Spain," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 607-12, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. B Bhaskara Rao & Singh Rup, 2005. "Demand for Money in India: 1953-2003," Macroeconomics 0510002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Bhaskara Rao, 2005. "Estimating Short and Long Run Relationships: A Guide to the Applied Economist," Econometrics 0508013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Long, Dara & Samreth, Sovannroeun, 2008. "The Monetary Model of Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Philippines Using ARDL Approach," MPRA Paper 9822, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Shahrestani, Hamid & Sharifi-Renani, Hosein, 2007. "Demand for money in Iran: An ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 11451, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Kumar, Saten, 2008. "A Panel Data Approach to the Demand for Money and the Effects of Financial Reforms in the Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 6565, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  6. Yu Hsing, 2006. "Tests Of Functional Forms, Currency Substitution, And Capital Mobility Of Czech Money Demand Function," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2006(4), pages 291-299. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Kumar, Saten, 2007. "Cointegration, structural breaks and the demand for money in Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 1546, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Paresh Narayan & Seema Narayan & Vinod Mishra, 2009. "Estimating money demand functions for South Asian countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 685-696, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Kumar, Saten, 2006. "Structural Breaks and the Demand for Money in Fiji," MPRA Paper 1549, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  10. Singh, Prakash & Pandey, Manoj K., 2009. "Structural break, stability and demand for money in India," MPRA Paper 15425, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  11. Tara McIndoe, Trinity College Dublin, 2009. "Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe: Money Demand, Seigniorage and Aid shocks," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp293, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
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