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Evaluating the survey of professional forecasters probability distributions of expected inflation based on derived event probability forecasts Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Michael Clements
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Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics .
Volume (Year): 31 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 49-64
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Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:31:y:2006:i:1:p:49-64Contact details of provider: Web page: http://link.springer.de/link/service/journals/00181/index.htm
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Keywords: Density forecasts ; Event probabilities ; Encompassing ; SPF inflation forecasts ; C53 ; References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Diebold, Francis X & Gunther, Todd A & Tay, Anthony S, 1998.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management ,"
International Economic Review ,
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Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1996.
"Forecast Evaluation and Combination ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Holden, K & Peel, D A, 1990.
"On Testing for Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Forecasts ,"
The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(2), pages 120-27, June.
Harvey, David & Leybourne, Stephen & Newbold, Paul, 1997.
"Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 281-291, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003.
"Inflation forecast uncertainty ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Söderlind, Paul, 2000.
"Inflation Forecast Uncertainty ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2499, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000.
"Inflation Forecast Uncertainty ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
384, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 09 Oct 2000.
[Downloadable!] Jose A. Lopez, 1997.
"Regulatory evaluation of value-at-risk models ,"
Staff Reports
33, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
John Geweke & Gianni Amisano, 2009.
"Optimal Prediction Pools ,"
Working Paper Series
1017, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Clements, Michael P, 2006.
"Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters ,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
772, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Clements, Michael P., 2008.
"Rounding of probability forecasts : The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth ,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
869, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
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