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Bank Regulation and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

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Author Info
Charles Goodhart
Abstract

Over the last two decades, macroeconomic cycles were frequently associated with boom--bust cycles in bank lending and asset prices, often followed by financial instability. In this paper we argue that (i) the new pattern of macroeconomic cycles is partly the result of banking-sector liberalization since the early/mid-1970s, which has increased the procyclicality of the financial system; (ii) the regulation of bank capital in the form of capital adequacy requirements is itself inherently procyclical and may therefore amplify business-cycle fluctuations; (iii) the new Basel II Accord may considerably accentuate the procyclicality of the regulatory system. Copyright 2004, Oxford University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Oxford Review of Economic Policy.

Volume (Year): 20 (2004)
Issue (Month): 4 (Winter)
Pages: 591-615
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Handle: RePEc:oup:oxford:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:591-615

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  1. Carlo Brambilla & Giandomenico Piluso, 2007. "Are Banks Procyclical? Evidence from the Italian Case (1890-1973)," Department of Economics University of Siena 523, Department of Economics, University of Siena. [Downloadable!]
  2. Javier Andrés & Óscar J. Arce, 2009. "Banking competition, housing prices and macroeconomic stability," Banco de España Working Papers 0830, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  3. Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo & John Muellbauer, . "Consumer credit conditions in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 314, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  4. Charles A. E. Goodhart, 2005. "What Can Academics Contribute to the Study of Financial Stability?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 189-203. [Downloadable!]
  5. Eickmeier, Sandra & Hofmann, Boris & Worms, Andreas, 2006. "Macroeconomic fluctuations and bank lending: evidence for Germany and the euro area," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,34, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  6. Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto & C. A. E. Goodhart, 2009. "Banking Stability Measures," IMF Working Papers 09/4, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. David VanHoose, 2008. "Bank Capital Regulation, Economic Stability, and Monetary Policy: What Does the Academic Literature Tell Us?," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 36(1), pages 1-14, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Jesús Saurina & Carlos Trucharte, 2007. "An assessment of Basel II procyclicality in mortgage portfolios," Banco de España Working Papers 0712, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  9. Patrick Honohan, 2008. "Bank Failures: The Limitations of Risk Modelling," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp263, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
  10. Klaus Rheinberger & Martin Summer, 2008. "Credit portfolio risk and asset price cycles," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 337-354, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Jesús Saurina & Carlos Trucharte, 2007. "An Assessment of Basel II Procyclicality in Mortgage Portfolios," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 81-101, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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