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Growth Prospects in China and India Compared

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  • Richard Herd
  • Sean Dougherty

Abstract

This paper compares the growth prospects of China and India through a growth accounting analysis. Consistent time series for capital stock and employment are constructed using available survey data, and recent revisions to the national accounts for both countries are incorporated. The results allow for a discussion of the sources of growth in both countries, and a consideration of each country's rate of potential growth in light of the outlook for national savings, as demographic shifts occur in each country.

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File URL: http://eaces.liuc.it/18242979200701/182429792007040104.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Cattaneo University (LIUC) in its journal The European Journal of Comparative Economics.

Volume (Year): 4 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 (June)
Pages: 65-89

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Handle: RePEc:liu:liucej:v:4:y:2007:i:1:p:65-89

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Keywords: Growth accounting; potential growth; capital measurement; demographics; China; India;

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References

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  1. Carsten A. Holz, 2005. "New Capital Estimates for China," Development and Comp Systems 0504011, EconWPA.
  2. Chow, Gregory C, 1993. "Capital Formation and Economic Growth in China," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 809-42, August.
  3. Rodrik, Dani & Subramanian, Arvind, 2004. "From "Hindu Growth" to Productivity Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition," Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government rwp04-013, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  4. Sean Dougherty & Richard Herd, 2005. "Fast-Falling Barriers and Growing Concentration: The Emergence of a Private Economy in China," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 471, OECD Publishing.
  5. Nick Vanston, 2006. "Summary of a Workshop on Global Convergence Scenarios: Structural and Policy Issues," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 483, OECD Publishing.
  6. Franco Modigliani & Shi Larry Cao, 2004. "The Chinese Saving Puzzle and the Life-Cycle Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 42(1), pages 145-170, March.
  7. Chow, Gregory C., 2006. "New capital estimates for China: Comments," China Economic Review, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 186-192.
  8. Barry Bosworth & Susan M. Collins & Arvind Virmani, 2006. "Sources of Growth in the Indian Economy," India Policy Forum, Global Economy and Development Program, The Brookings Institution, Global Economy and Development Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 3(1), pages 1-69.
  9. T. N. Srinivasan & Suresh D. Tendulkar, 2003. "Reintegrating India with the World Economy," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 98, July.
  10. Barry Bosworth & Susan M. Collins, 2007. "Accounting for Growth: Comparing China and India," NBER Working Papers 12943, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Luiz de Mello & Per Mathis Kongsrud & Robert W.R. Price, 2004. "Saving Behaviour and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 397, OECD Publishing.
  12. Arvind Virmani, 2006. "India's Economic Growth History: Fluctuations, Trends, Break Points and Phases," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 41(1), pages 81-103, July.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Enrico Marelli & Marcello Signorelli, 2011. "China and India: Openness, Trade and Effects on Economic Growth," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 8(1), pages 129-154, June.
  2. Alan Heston, 2010. "What Can Be Learned About the Economies of China and India from Purchasing Power Comparisons?," Working Papers id:2777, eSocialSciences.
  3. Alan Heston, 2008. "What Can Be Learned About the Economies of China and India from Purchasing Power Comparisons?," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22166, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  4. Keyu Jin, 2009. "Industrial structure and financial capital flows," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library 25827, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  5. Zheng, Jinghai & Bigsten, Arne & Hu, Angang, 2006. "Can China’s Growth be Sustained? A Productivity Perspective," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics 236, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
  6. Nader Nazmi & Julio Revilla, 2011. "Brazil’s growth performance: a comparative perspective to the Asian giants," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 7-24, April.
  7. Monojit Chatterji & Sushil Mohan & Sayantan Ghosh Dastidar, 2013. "Relationship between trade openness and economic growth of India: A time series analysis," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics, Economic Studies, University of Dundee 274, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
  8. Nazmi, Nader & Revilla, Julio E., 2008. "Economic Efficiency and Growth: Evidence from Brazil, China, and India," Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) RP2008/86, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  9. Kan, Kamhon & Wang, Yong, 2013. "Comparing China and India: A factor accumulation perspective," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 879-894.

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