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Accounting for Growth: Comparing China and India

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Author Info
Barry Bosworth
Susan M. Collins
Abstract

Since 1980, China and India have achieved remarkable rates of economic growth and poverty reduction. The emergence of China and India as major forces in the global economy has been one of the most significant economic developments of the past quarter century. This paper examines sources of economic growth in the two countries, comparing and contrasting their experiences over the past 25 years. In this paper, we investigate patterns of economic growth for China and India by constructing growth accounts that uncover the supply-side sources of output change for each economy. Some of the results confirm themes that have emerged from the prior literature on the economic development of the two countries, however, some new findings emerge as well. In addition to decompositions of aggregate growth, we construct separate accounts for the three major economic sectors: agriculture; industry; and services. This level of detail enables us to highlight key differences in the development paths taken by China and India. In conclusion, we assess the prospects for future growth in each country.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal Journal of Economic Perspectives.

Volume (Year): 22 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (Winter)
Pages: 45-66
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Handle: RePEc:aea:jecper:v:22:y:2008:i:1:p:45-66

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  1. Fleisher, Belton M. & Li, Haizheng & Zhao, Min Qiang, 2008. "Human Capital, Economic Growth, and Regional Inequality in China," IZA Discussion Papers 3576, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Singh, Nirvikar, 2009. "India's Development Strategy: Accidents, Design and Replicability," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  3. Hans Fehr & Sabine Jokisch & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 2008. "Dynamic Globalization and Its Potentially Alarming Prospects for Low-Wage Workers," NBER Working Papers 14527, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Singh, Rup, 2008. "A Panel Data Approach to the Contribution of Trade to the Growth of Selected East Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 10663, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  5. Gupta, Abhay, 2009. "Pre-reform Conditions, Intermediate Inputs and Distortions: Solving the Indian Growth Puzzle," MPRA Paper 14481, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jakob B. Madsen, 2009. "Growth And Capital Deepening Since 1870: Is It All Technological Progress?," Monash Economics Working Papers 10/09, Monash University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Vittorio Valli & Donatella Saccone, 2009. "Structural Change and Economic Development in China and India," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 6(1), pages 101-129, June. [Downloadable!]
  8. Barry Bosworth & Susan M. Collins & Aaron Flaaen, . "Trading with Asia's Giants," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 220, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India. [Downloadable!]
  9. Singh, Nirvikar, 2008. "India’s Development Strategy: Accidents, Design and Replicability," MPRA Paper 12453, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  10. Barry Bosworth, 2008. "Trading with Asia’s Giants," Working Papers id:1615, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
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