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The theory of precautionary saving: an overview of recent developments

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  • Donatella Baiardi

    (University of Parma)

  • Marco Magnani

    (University of Parma)

  • Mario Menegatti

    (University of Parma)

Abstract

This work reviews recent developments in the literature analyzing precautionary saving. After a description of traditional precautionary saving theory, which considers labor income risk and interest rate risk, we present different research lines which introduce a wide range of extensions and generalizations of the classical model: the contemporaneous presence of multiple risks, changes in risks of different types, multiple variables affecting household utility, preferences non-featuring risk aversion and joint decisions on many choice variables. For each of these issues, we provide specific highlights which summarize the main results obtained in the literature. Lastly, we briefly discuss the analyzes beyond the classical model.

Suggested Citation

  • Donatella Baiardi & Marco Magnani & Mario Menegatti, 2020. "The theory of precautionary saving: an overview of recent developments," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 513-542, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:reveho:v:18:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11150-019-09460-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11150-019-09460-3
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    2. António Afonso & Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2023. "Consumption patterns of indebted households: unravelling the relevance of fiscal policy," Working Papers REM 2023/0282, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Pedro Trivin, 2022. "The wealth-consumption channel: evidence from a panel of Spanish households," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1377-1428, December.
    4. Bande, Roberto & Riveiro, Dolores & Ruiz, Freddy, 2021. "Does Uncertainty Affect Saving Decisions of Colombian Households? Evidence on Precautionary Saving," MPRA Paper 106771, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Aneta M. Klopocka & Rumiana Gorska, 2021. "Forecasting Household Saving Rate with Consumer Confidence Indicator and its Components: Panel Data Analysis of 14 European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 874-898.
    6. Ethan Hunt & Dr. Hyungjoon Jeon & Dr. Sang Lee, 2021. "Determinants of Household Savings: An Empirical Evidence from the OECD Member Countries," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 11(2), pages 62-75, June.
    7. Lucas Sato & Nourjelha Mohamed, 2022. "The role of social insurance schemes in addressing the risks faced by agricultural workers in the Middle East and North Africa," Research Report 80, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    8. Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Pomerantz, Rachel & Skandalis, Daphné & Smith, Kyle & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2021. "How economic crises affect inflation beliefs: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 443-469.
    9. Mario Menegatti, 2023. "A note on changes in additive risky benefits and risky costs," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 19(3), pages 753-763, September.
    10. Vergara, Marcos & Bonilla, Claudio A., 2021. "Precautionary saving in mean-variance models and different sources of risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 280-289.
    11. Claudio A. Bonilla & Pablo A. Gutiérrez Cubillos, 2021. "The effects of ambiguity on entrepreneurship," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 63-80, February.
    12. Suen, Richard M. H., 2022. "Precautionary Saving Behaviour under Ambiguity," MPRA Paper 114382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Yu, Mingzhe & Fan, Jiachuan & Wang, Haijun & Wang, Jie, 2023. "US trade policy uncertainty on Chinese agricultural imports and exports: An aggregate and product-level analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 70-83.
    14. Hun Seog, S. & Hong, Jimin, 2022. "Market insurance and endogenous saving with multiple loss states," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    15. Takao Asano & Yusuke Osaki, 2022. "Precautionary Saving against Correlation under Risk and Ambiguity," KIER Working Papers 1071, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    16. Claudio A. Bonilla & Marcos Vergara & Richard Watt, 2022. "Changes in risk and entrepreneurship," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(4), pages 367-385, December.
    17. Claudio Bonilla & Marcos Vergara, 2022. "New results on precautionary saving and nonlinear risks," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 177-189, July.

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