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Interest rate causality and asymmetry in the EMS

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Author Info
Karsten Biltoft
Christian Boersch
Abstract

This paper investigates the hypothesis of an asymmetric EMS under German leadership in the period from 1983 to 1991. The approach adopted was to undertake Granger-causality tests on daily observations of changes in interest rates. For the group of core countries we find that, in recent years, the EMS has operated asymmetrically. This asymmetry has developed over the years and was not evident prior to 1987. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1992

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/BF01886154
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Open Economies Review.

Volume (Year): 3 (1992)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 297-306
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Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:3:y:1992:i:3:p:297-306

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Related research
Keywords: EMS; asymmetry; Granger-causality;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Michele Fratianni & Juergen Hagen, 1992. "German dominance in the EMS:The empirical evidence," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 127-128, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. De Grauwe, Paul, 1989. "Is the European Monetary System a DM-Zone?," CEPR Discussion Papers 297, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Mélitz, Jacques, 1988. "Monetary Discipline and Cooperation in the European Monetary System: A Synthesis," CEPR Discussion Papers 219, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Augusto López-Claros & Horst Ungerer & Thomas H. Mayer & Jouko J. Hauvonen, 1990. "The European Monetary System: Developments and Perspectives," IMF Occasional Papers 73, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Michele Fratianni & Juergen Hagen, 1990. "German dominance in the EMS," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 67-87, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Giavazzi, Francesco & Pagano, Marco, 1988. "The advantage of tying one's hands : EMS discipline and Central Bank credibility," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1055-1075, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Marcel Fratzscher, 2002. "The Euro bloc, the Dollar bloc and the Yen bloc: how much monetary policy independence can exchange rate flexibility buy in an interdependent world?," Working Paper Series 154, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Bergin, Paul & Jorda, Oscar, 2000. "Monetary Policy Coordination: A New Empirical Approach," Working Papers 01-2, University of California at Davis, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Johannes Groeneveld & Kees Koedijk & Clemens Kool, 1998. "Credibility of European economic convergence," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 1-24, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Devine, Máiréad, 1997. "The Cointegration of International Interest rates," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/97, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI). [Downloadable!]
  5. John Thornton & Alicia García-Herrero, 1997. "Additional evidence on monetary base and interest rate linkages in the EMS," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 359-368, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Bergin, Paul & Jorda, Oscar, 2002. "Measuring Monetary Policy Interdependence," Working Papers 06-9, University of California at Davis, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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