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Quantitative easing announcements and high-frequency stock market volatility: Evidence from the United States

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  • Corbet, Shaen
  • Dunne, John James
  • Larkin, Charles

Abstract

In November 2008, the United States (US) Federal Reserve began purchasing mortgage-backed security obligations, in an attempt to support the failing housing market and improve financial market conditions. This paper provides an investigation of the volatility effects associated with regularly scheduled US Federal Reserve quantitative easing (QE) announcements, using high-frequency returns data. We find significant and substantial increases of stock market volatility immediately after a policy announcement, peaking in the hour following each Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement. The increase in volatility is largest when the market is provided with forewarning of an announcement. Unexpected announcements lead to longer short-term volatility persistence. Volatility persistence is amplified when the contents of the surprise announcement are positive. Finally, we find evidence of an increase in market returns prior to a FOMC announcement.

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  • Corbet, Shaen & Dunne, John James & Larkin, Charles, 2019. "Quantitative easing announcements and high-frequency stock market volatility: Evidence from the United States," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 321-334.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:48:y:2019:i:c:p:321-334
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.01.007
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    3. Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Małgorzata & Rogowicz, Karol & Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2021. "Two decades of contagion effect on stock markets: Which events are more contagious?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Jieyi Duan & Nobuyuki Hanaki, 2021. "The impact of asset purchases in an experimental market with consumption smoothing motives," ISER Discussion Paper 1147, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    5. Belcaid, Karim & El Ghini, Ahmed, 2019. "U.S., European, Chinese economic policy uncertainty and Moroccan stock market volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).

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