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U.S. and Japanese macroeconomic news and stock market volatility in Asia-Pacific

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Author Info

  • Vrugt, Evert B.

Abstract

I use a new comprehensive dataset to analyze the impact of ten U.S. and six Japanese macroeconomic announcements on stock market volatility in Japan, Hong Kong, South-Korea and Australia. A GARCH model that allows for multiplicative announcement effects and asymmetries is employed. Overnight conditional variances are significantly higher on announcement days and significantly lower on days before and after announcements, especially for U.S. news. The impact of announcements on implied volatilities, in contrast, is much weaker. Out-of-sample trading strategies that systematically buy delta-neutral straddles on announcement days generate statistically significant profits, but these disappear after transaction costs are taken into account.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Pacific-Basin Finance Journal.

Volume (Year): 17 (2009)
Issue (Month): 5 (November)
Pages: 611-627

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Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:17:y:2009:i:5:p:611-627

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin

Related research

Keywords: Macroeconomic news Volatility International equity markets Information;

References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Chiang, Shu-Mei & Chen, Hsin-Fu & Lin, Chi-Tai, 2013. "The spillover effects of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and optimum asset allocation in the BRICV stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 30-43.
  2. Chang, Yuk Ying & Faff, Robert & Hwang, Chuan-Yang, 2010. "Liquidity and stock returns in Japan: New evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 90-115, January.
  3. X. F. Jiang & T. T. Chen & B. Zheng, 2013. "Time-reversal asymmetry in financial systems," Papers 1308.0669, arXiv.org.
  4. Singh, Manohar & Nejadmalayeri, Ali & Lucey, Brian, 2013. "Do U.S. macroeconomic surprises influence equity returns? An exploratory analysis of developed economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 476-485.

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