Stock price targeting and fiscal deficit in Japan: Why did the fiscal deficit increase during Japan’s lost decades?
AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to explain why Japan’s fiscal deficit increased so dramatically in the 1990s and the 2000s. We focus on the role of “stock price targeting” to explain why the fiscal expenditure increased so much. After presenting a simple model to describe government behavior with an optimistic view about stock price and output growth, the paper tests whether the model can explain Japan’s fiscal expenditure. The empirical results, using biannual and high-frequency data of the 1990s and the 2000s, show that the stock price targeting can track Japan’s fiscal expenditure reasonably well, especially in the 1990s. They imply that without the stock price targeting, the total amount of biannual fiscal stimulus from 1992 to 2000 would have been lower by 2.5 trillion yen on average.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of the Japanese and International Economies.
Volume (Year): 25 (2011)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622903
Fiscal deficit; Government spending; Stock price;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
- H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
- H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
- H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
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