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Which factors capitalize into house prices? A Bayesian averaging approach

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  • Stadelmann, David

Abstract

This paper investigates the robustness of 33 community-specific explanatory variables for house prices in the Swiss metropolitan area of Zurich using Bayesian model averaging. The analysis suggests a new way to perform hedonic variable selection and provides a minimal list of variables which may serve as a priori constraints when predicting house prices or estimating the effect of other community-specific characteristics in a metropolitan area in a highly developed country. In the context analyzed, the main variables which capitalize with a high posterior probability are location-specific real estate characteristics, municipal taxes and expenditure for culture, health and social well-being. Demographic as well as other socio-economic controls seem to be of minor importance.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Housing Economics.

Volume (Year): 19 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 180-204

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:19:y:2010:i:3:p:180-204

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622881

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Keywords: Capitalization House price hedonic Model uncertainity Bayesian model averaging;

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Cited by:
  1. David Stadelmann & Reiner Eichenberger, 2014. "Public debts capitalize into property prices: empirical evidence for a new perspective on debt incidence," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 498-529, June.
  2. Karolien De Bruyne & Jan Van Hove, 2013. "Explaining the spatial variation in housing prices: an economic geography approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(13), pages 1673-1689, May.
  3. Christoph A. Schaltegger & Frank Somogyi & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2009. "Tax Competition and Income Sorting: Evidence from the Zurich Metropolitan Area," KOF Working papers 09-240, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  4. Piotr Białowolski & Tomasz Kuszewski & Bartosz Witkowski, 2012. "Macroeconomic Forecasts in Models with Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates," Contemporary Economics, University of Finance and Management in Warsaw, vol. 6(1), March.

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