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European depositors’ behavior and crisis sentiment

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  • Anastasiou, Dimitrios
  • Drakos, Konstantinos

Abstract

Employing monthly search volume data on crisis-related queries from the Google Trends database, we introduce two modified Google search-based crisis sentiment indicators as measures of depositors’ fear. These indices capture depositors’ crisis sentiment, and they are found to be significant drivers of bank deposits flows across European Union countries. Our findings indicate that countries for which the search intensity of crisis-related keywords is high, they tend to witness bank deposit outflows. By employing a Panel Vector Autoregressive approach, we document the robustness of our findings. Our findings suggest that policy makers should incorporate depositors’ fear in their macroprudential policies as predictor of bank insolvency.

Suggested Citation

  • Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Drakos, Konstantinos, 2021. "European depositors’ behavior and crisis sentiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 117-136.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:184:y:2021:i:c:p:117-136
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.01.028
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    Cited by:

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    3. Dimitris Anastasiou & Apostolos Katsafados, 2023. "Bank deposits and textual sentiment: When an European Central Bank president's speech is not just a speech," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(1), pages 55-87, January.
    4. Dimitris Anastasiou & Athanassios Petralias, 2021. "On the Construction of a Leading Indicator Based on News Headlines for Predicting Greek Deposit Outflows," International Journal of Business Management and Finance Research, Academia Publishing Group, vol. 4(1), pages 1-11.
    5. Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Bragoudakis, Zacharias & Giannoulakis, Stelios, 2021. "Perceived vs actual financial crisis and bank credit standards: Is there any indication of self-fulfilling prophecy?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2021. "Do volatility indices diminish gold's appeal as a safe haven to investors before and during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 214-235.
    7. Katsafados, Apostolos & Anastasiou, Dimitris, 2022. "Short-term Prediction of Bank Deposit Flows: Do Textual Features matter?," MPRA Paper 111418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2023. "Sentiment-based indicators of real estate market stress and systemic risk: international evidence," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 355-382, September.
    9. Dimitris Anastasiou & Panayotis Kapopoulos & Kalliopi-Maria Zekente, 2023. "Sentimental Shocks and House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 627-655, November.
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    12. Tzomakas, Christos & Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Katsafados, Apostolos & Krokida, Styliani Iris, 2023. "Crisis sentiment and banks’ stock price crash risk: A missing piece of the puzzle?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Deposit flows; Crisis sentiment; Depositor behavior; Google Trends; FEARS Index; Panel VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance

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