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Structural heterogeneity or asymmetric shocks? Poland and the euro area through the lens of a two-country DSGE model

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  • Kolasa, Marcin

Abstract

This paper presents a two-country model linking Poland and the euro area and applies it for assessment of heterogeneity across these two regions. Overall, our results can be seen as rather inconclusive about the differences in parameters describing agents' decision-making in Poland and in the euro area. On the contrary, we find strong evidence for heterogeneity in terms of volatility and synchronization of shocks hitting both economies. Our results may be viewed as a step towards estimating the costs of Poland's entry to the European Monetary Union, associated with giving up the monetary autonomy and losing benefits from stabilizing movements of the exchange rate.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economic Modelling.

Volume (Year): 26 (2009)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Pages: 1245-1269

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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:26:y:2009:i:6:p:1245-1269

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411

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Keywords: Two-country DSGE Bayesian estimation Heterogeneity;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Andrzej Torój, 2010. "Rationality of Expectations: Another OCA Criterion? A DSGE Analysis," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 2(3), pages 205-252, June.
  2. Andrzej Toroj, 2009. "Macroeconomic adjustment and heterogeneity in the euro area," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 54, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
  3. Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Jacquinot, Pascal & Kolasa, Marcin, 2010. "Can we prevent boom-bust cycles during euro area accession?," Working Paper Series 1280, European Central Bank.
  4. Mehrotra, Aaron & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Eller, Markus, 2011. "The Economic transmission of fiscal policy shocks from Western to Eastern Europe," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2011, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  5. Michal Brzoza-Brzezina & Krzysztof Makarski & Grzegorz Wesolowski, 2013. "Would it have paid to be in the eurozone?," Working Papers 70, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
  6. Andrzej Torój & Karolina Konopczak, 2012. "Crisis Resistance Versus Monetary Regime: A Polish–Slovak Counterfactual Exercise," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 4(1), pages 1-22, March.
  7. Adnan Haider & Musleh ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2012. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 609-682.
  8. Andrzej Torój, 2012. "Andrzej Torój - Poland and Slovakia during the crisis: would the euro (non-)adoption matter?," Working Papers 13, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
  9. Pentecôte, Jean-Sébastien & Huchet-Bourdon, Marilyne, 2012. "Revisiting the core-periphery view of EMU," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2382-2391.
  10. Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, 2013. "Ready for euro? Empirical study of the actual monetary policy independence in Poland," Working Papers 2013-13, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  11. Marcin Kolasa, 2013. "Business cycles in EU new member states: How and why are they different?," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 156, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
  12. Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Krzysztof Makarski, 2010. "Credit Crunch in a Small Open Economy," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 75, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
  13. Piotr Krajewski, 2012. "Tax Rates Impact on GDP in Poland," Equilibrium, Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 7, pages 27-42.
  14. Martin SLANICAY, 2013. "Business Cycle Synchronization through the Lens of a DSGE Model," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(2), pages 180-196, May.
  15. Andrzej Toroj, 2011. "Competitiveness channel in Poland and Slovakia: a pre-EMU DSGE analysis," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 86, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
  16. repec:onb:oenbwp:y:2011:i:2:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. Michał Gradzewicz & Krzysztof Makarski, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Losing Autonomous Monetary Policy after the Euro Adoption in Poland," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 58, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.

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