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Credit bubble and stagnation in Colombia, 1990-2001

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  • Fernando Tenjo
  • Enrique Lopez

    ()
    (Banco de la Republica
    Banco de la Republica)

Abstract

This paper explores the dynamics of the credit-crunch affecting Colombia during the second half of the 1990s. Its main objectives are to present statistical evidence regarding the phenomenon in question, to ascertain rhythms deriving from it and some working hypotheses shedding some light on determinants of Colombian credit market behaviour. The study distinguishes between exogenous and endogenous factors explaining this behaviour. External capital flows play a key role in the former as their size and direction highly influence internal credit conditions and economic activity. However, changes in these flows are channelled through a domestic financial system that amplifies their negative effect on the economy, thus playing a procedural-cyclical role

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File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/cej/number1/6-Tenjo.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Academia Colombiana de Ciencias Economicas, Colegio Mayor de Nuestra Senora del Rosario, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Universidad de Antioquia, Universidad de los Andes, Universidad del Valle, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia in its journal Colombian Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 1 (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (December)
Pages: 151-191

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Handle: RePEc:cej:primer:v:1:y:2003:i:1:p:151-191

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Keywords: credit markets; credit cycle; financial structure; flow of funds;

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References

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  1. Rudi Dornbusch, 2002. "A Primer on Emerging-Market Crises," NBER Chapters, in: Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 743-754 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  6. Philippe Aghion & Philippe Bacchetta & Abhijit Banerjee, 1999. "Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies," Working Papers 99.01, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
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  8. Enrique López & Adolfo Barajas & Hugo Oliveros, 2001. "¿ Por qué en Colombia el Crédito al Sector Privado es tan Reducido?," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003787, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  9. Philippe Aghion & Philippe Bacchetta & Abhijit Banerjee, 2001. "A Corporate Balance-Sheet Approach to Currency Crises," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) 01.14, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP.
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  11. Leonardo Villar & Hernán Rincón, . "The Colombian Economy in the nineties: Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Regimes," Borradores de Economia 149, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  12. Paul Krugman, 1999. "Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 459-472, November.
  13. Juan Manuel Julio, 2001. "Relación entre la Tasa de Intervención del Banco de la República y las Tasas del Mercado :Una Exploración Empírica," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003450, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  14. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2001. "Prudential Supervision: Why Is It Important and What Are the Issues?," NBER Chapters, in: Prudential Supervision: What Works and What Doesn't, pages 1-30 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Sergio Clavijo & Michel Janna & Santiago Munoz, 2005. "El mercado colombiano de la vivienda: factores socioeconómicos y financieros determinantes," Research Department Publications 4390, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  2. Boris Branisa & Adriana Cardozo, 2009. "Revisiting the Regional Growth Convergence Debate in Colombia Using Income Indicators," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 194, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research, revised 21 Aug 2009.
  3. Sergio Clavijo & Michel Janna & Santiago Munoz, 2005. "The Housing Market in Colombia: Socioeconomic and Financial Determinants," Research Department Publications 4389, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.

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