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Gains from Synchronization

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  • Barnett William A

    ()
    (The University of Kansas)

  • Dalkir Mehmet S

    ()
    (University of New Brunswick)

Abstract

This paper investigates the transmission mechanisms of structural shocks and volatility between economies through trade links, and the effects of synchronization on business cycles. We investigate the transmission of outside structural shocks and the fluctuations that the shocks generate. We identify conditions under which international economic links reduce the volatility and unpredictability of economic output emanating from shocks within the individual economies. Under certain conditions, devaluation of a country's currency causes reduction in the unpredictability of the business cycle and its volatility as seen by that country's exporters, while increased valuation of a country's currency produces higher unpredictability and volatility, as seen by the country's importers.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by De Gruyter in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 11 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 28-55

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Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:11:y:2007:i:1:n:2

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  1. Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2001. "Global Implications of Self-Oriented National Monetary Rules," Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkele qt6412m5b7, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
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  6. Barnett, William A. & He, Yijun, 2002. "Stabilization Policy As Bifurcation Selection: Would Stabilization Policy Work If The Economy Really Were Unstable?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(05), pages 713-747, November.
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  11. Feenstra, Robert C, 2002. "Border Effects and the Gravity Equation: Consistent Methods for Estimation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 49(5), pages 491-506, December.
  12. Michael D. Bordo & Thomas Helbling, 2003. "Have National Business Cycles Become More Synchronized?," NBER Working Papers 10130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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