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Macroeconomic Impacts Of Oil Price Shocks: An Empirical Analysis Based On The Svar Models

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  • KILICARSLAN Zerrin

    (Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey)

  • DUMRUL Yasemin

    (Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey)

Abstract

Since oil is a major source of energy, many sectors of the economy are directly or indirectly dependent on oil. Therefore, oil price shocks have many important effects on the global economy. The aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of oil price shocks on key macroeconomic variables of the Turkey by using SVAR analysis for the period from 2005Q1 to 2017Q2. Our empirical evidence confirmed that the increase in the price of crude oil in Turkey leads to a decrease in economic growth while increasing crude oil prices, inflation and real exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • KILICARSLAN Zerrin & DUMRUL Yasemin, 2017. "Macroeconomic Impacts Of Oil Price Shocks: An Empirical Analysis Based On The Svar Models," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 69(5), pages 55-72, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:blg:reveco:v:69:y:2017:i:5:p:55-72
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    1. Jihoon Lee & Hong Chong Cho, 2021. "Impact of Structural Oil Price Shock Factors on the Gasoline Market and Macroeconomy in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil prices; Inflation; Exchange Rate; Real GDP; SVAR Models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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